ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3941 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:18 pm

Image

Beginning a more west movement
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3942 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:19 pm

artist wrote:Hurricane force winds extend 160 miles, 80 miles from center out, tropical storm force winds extend 390 miles, 195 from center out.


Florence is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). NOAA Buoy 41025,
located near Diamond Shoals, North Carolina, recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h).


Huge storm and wind field.


That buoy mentioned now reporting 27 foot waves, that's a lot of water force moving towards the coast.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3943 Postby kurthi » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:19 pm

wx98 wrote:
ronyan wrote:This guy is on Ocracoke and has been posting some updates: https://twitter.com/JohnMoretti5


He tweeted over an hour ago water has probably risen 2 to 3 feet. Lines up with Jeff Piotrowski's footage of the surge coming in down at Topsail Beach.



Hatteras Island getting overwash at all the usual locations. Per NC12 facebook page

Overwash

New Inlet bridge in Pea Island
S curves at Mirlo Beach in Rodanthe
Oceanview Drive in Avon
Cape Hatteras Hotel in Buxton
Location of old Isabel inlet between Frisco and Hatteras Village

Would expect several inlets to be formed on Hatteras before this is over, unless Florence takes a sharp turn south.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3944 Postby plasticup » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:21 pm


Well that's disturbing. Looks like OBX will miss the worst of it but I'm not jealous of Wilmington right now.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3945 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:23 pm

NCDOT NC12
@NCDOT_NC12
Here's a look at overwash on NC12 just north of Hatteras Village. Again, this is NOT the time to be out on the roads on either Ocracoke or Hatteras Islands.
Image

Posted over an hour ago
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3946 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:24 pm

Beaufort Smith Field 12:58 Rain Fog/Mist and Windy 80 76 87 NE 36 G 61 29.67
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3947 Postby ozonepete » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:27 pm

artist wrote:Hurricane force winds extend 160 miles, 80 miles from center out, tropical storm force winds extend 390 miles, 195 from center out.


Florence is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). NOAA Buoy 41025,
located near Diamond Shoals, North Carolina, recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h).


Huge storm and wind field.


Yes, that plus the very slow motion is going to do tremendous coastal damage.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3948 Postby NC George » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:27 pm

artist wrote:NCDOT NC12
@NCDOT_NC12
Here's a look at overwash on NC12 just north of Hatteras Village. Again, this is NOT the time to be out on the roads on either Ocracoke or Hatteras Islands.
https://s33.postimg.cc/b4dp4awin/image.jpg

Posted over an hour ago


Compare that to my avatar, which was taken just a little N of where the poster's pic was taken.
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Bertha '96, Fran '96, Bonnie '98, Dennis '99, Floyd '99 :eek: , Isabel '03, Irene '11, Matthew '16, Isaias '20, PTC16????

Avatar is heading into Florence 2018, moving friend's boat, only land between us and Hurricane Florence is Ocracoke Island!

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3949 Postby meriland29 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:28 pm

artist wrote:Latest vortex
503
URNT12 KNHC 131707
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062018
A. 13/16:31:10Z
B. 33.50 deg N 075.89 deg W
C. 700 mb 2726 m
D. 955 mb
E. 040 deg 5 kt
F. OPEN E
G. C34
H. 64 kt
I. 181 deg 18 nm 16:25:30Z
J. 259 deg 71 kt
K. 170 deg 45 nm 16:16:00Z
L. 84 kt
M. 358 deg 19 nm 16:37:00Z
N. 091 deg 90 kt
O. 359 deg 30 nm 16:40:30Z
P. 9 C / 3049 m
Q. 18 C / 3044 m
R. 13 C / NA
S. 12345 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF302 1406A FLORENCE OB 26
MAX FL WIND 92 KT 059 / 25 NM 14:54:30Z
;


Interesting position. And it picked up 2 kt since last..
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3950 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:28 pm

Flo has really slowed to a crawl the last hour or so.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3951 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:32 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3952 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:34 pm

[Tweet]https://mobile.twitter.com/NOAASatellites/status/1040280164553371654[/Tweet]
The
#GOESEast
Geostationary Lightning Mapper captured this 3-day time lapse of all the lightning strikes in
#HurricaneFlorence
on its path toward the U.S. (Sept. 10-13, 2018). See more: (link: http://go.usa.gov/xPY8Q) go.usa.gov/xPY8Q
#lightningfromspace
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3953 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:37 pm

NC George wrote:
artist wrote:NCDOT NC12
@NCDOT_NC12
Here's a look at overwash on NC12 just north of Hatteras Village. Again, this is NOT the time to be out on the roads on either Ocracoke or Hatteras Islands.
https://s33.postimg.cc/b4dp4awin/image.jpg

Posted over an hour ago


Compare that to my avatar, which was taken just a little N of where the poster's pic was taken.


That makes for a great comparison as to what is already happening, and it is still hours away.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3954 Postby lando » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:39 pm

What’s Jeff p live stream??
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3955 Postby ktulu909 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:40 pm

lando wrote:What’s Jeff p live stream??


https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1rmGPNXPPOQxN
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3956 Postby artist » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:41 pm

Mark Sudduth
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Storm surge getting higher at Union point in New Bern

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3957 Postby PTPatrick » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:42 pm

I’m thinking that the window of time she has to really do any significant reorg has closed despite otherwise favorable conditions today. Not sure if we are starting to see some diurnal cloud top warming but if she is getting a bump off the Gulf Stream she ain’t showing it yet. Warm tho it might be, the shallow nature of the warm water and her now very slowed speed are not going to be super conducive. Probably will seem some continued flare ups, particularly tonight and those will be significant with regard to effects the immediate coast sees, as well as tonado threat. But I think overall WYSIWYG with Florence...a big, sloppy, slow cat 2 with a surge and flood the likes of which NC has never seen.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3958 Postby W8NC4TX » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:43 pm

lando wrote:What’s Jeff p live stream??


Pretty sure this is his youtube channel
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bw3TGF_GNBI
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3959 Postby Rail Dawg » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:43 pm

Ok here’s the view out of my truck window. Just across the Cape Fear River from Wilmington.

If one can’t be safe near the Battleship USS North Carolina well then forget it lol.

Image
bromide chemical formula
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3960 Postby chances14 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:43 pm

ktulu909 wrote:
lando wrote:What’s Jeff p live stream??


https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1rmGPNXPPOQxN


he's also streaming on youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bw3TGF_GNBI
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