ATL: KIRK - Remnants - Discussion

[Gustywind]

Barbados is getting the worst of Kirk tonight, torrential rains over the next few hours.

https://i.imgur.com/kjvpPJo.gif

Let's hope that this scenario will not occur.

[Gustywind]

Still raining heavily here. We had some spectacular rapid-fire lightning up to several minutes ago too.

I know Barbados radar is down, which one covers your area these days? I'm sure you've mentioned it, but I missed it

Martinique
http://www.meteofrance.gp/previsions-me ... r/antilles

Check this one much better: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html

[christchurchguy]

I know Barbados radar is down, which one covers your area these days? I'm sure you've mentioned it, but I missed it

Martinique
http://www.meteofrance.gp/previsions-me ... r/antilles

Check this one much better: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html

Is the center relocating on the radar?

[abajan]

Martinique
http://www.meteofrance.gp/previsions-me ... r/antilles

Check this one much better: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html

Is the center relocating on the radar?

It certainly looks that way to my eyes. But I'm not that au fait with radar imagery. Perhaps the mountains in St Lucia are causing reflectivity issues or something. I don't know.

EDIT: Actually, it is indeed moving southwest! The center can be seen on this SW IR loop: https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... ascatb=Off

[Gustywind]

Check this one much better: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html

Is the center relocating on the radar?

It certainly looks that way to my eyes. But I'm not that au fait with radar imagery. Perhaps the mountains in St Lucia are causing reflectivity issues or something. I don't know.

EDIT: Actually, it is indeed moving southwest! The center can be seen on this SW IR loop: https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... ascatb=Off

Me too. I think that too.

[gatorcane]

Naked center looks to be losing latitude and not exactly following the model short-range guidance:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

[tolakram]

Crazy rapid SW motion.

[tailgater]

Crazy Kirk has lost his way. Very strange, I guess it is now been steered by lower level flow as the mid level is totally decoupled and the pressure is rising.

[Ubuntwo]

Weird - the lowest pressures are actually displaced from the center. 1006 in the center, 1002 just to the NW. Also, 55+ kt SFMR?

[NDG]

Barbados seeing the strongest winds right now.

Conditions at: TBPB observed 28 September 2018 03:15 UTC
Temperature: 25.0°C (77°F)
Dewpoint: 24.0°C (75°F) [RH = 94%]
Pressure (altimeter): 29.88 inches Hg (1012.0 mb)
Winds: from the E (100 degrees) at 37 MPH (32 knots; 16.6 m/s)
gusting to 48 MPH (42 knots; 21.8 m/s)
Visibility: 1.24 miles (2.00 km)
Ceiling: 800 feet AGL
Clouds: broken clouds at 800 feet AGL
broken clouds at 1000 feet AGL
Present Weather: TSRA (rain associated with thunderstorm(s))
TBPB 280315Z 10032G42KT 2000 TSRA BKN008CB BKN010 25/24 Q1012 NOSIG

[Weatherwatcher2018]

How many more hours will these conditions persist in Barbados

[Ubuntwo]

Recon's going through some transmission issues

[Ubuntwo]

Unflagged SFMR of 57kt in the new convection

[Aric Dunn]

interesting motion. the islands have caused some localized troughing ( lee side). it will change overall track but wont change the shear lol. it would have to survive about 72 hours and make it to the western carrib. which means it has to keep developing this bursts of convection. the lower latitude might help in a couple days but right now it does not matter where its at.

[GCANE]

Interaction with 355K PV has diminished overnight.
A bit more conducive in maintaining the vort column all though it is still heavily sheared.
Convection beginning to fire closer to the CoC now.

[Weatherwatcher2018]

Reported about 10 inches of rain in Barbados. Water rescues occurred early this morning mainly in Christ church and st. Philip where water was reported to be almost 6 feet high in some areas.

[NDG]

Kirk's LLC is much weaker this morning, any TS force winds is probably well away from it. It has also resumed it WNW heading.

[GCANE]

The naked swirl is moving like a drunk bat out of hell
Looks like its going to come in at about 1006mb

[wxman57]

Obs across the islands don't indicate anything close to TS winds.

[GCANE]