WPAC: HECTOR - Post-Tropical

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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#641 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:33 pm

Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:BEST only showing 120 KT smh this is why I don’t like to use it.


18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


They went with 120kts?
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Re: EPAC: HECTOR - Recon

#642 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:33 pm

888
URPN15 KNHC 061820
AF300 0210E HECTOR HDOB 30 20180806
181200 1345N 14103W 6970 03167 0079 +085 +065 190022 022 023 000 00
181230 1343N 14102W 6969 03164 0076 +085 +063 190022 022 021 000 00
181300 1342N 14101W 6971 03165 0078 +088 +064 189022 023 020 000 03
181330 1342N 14059W 6970 03167 0078 +088 +068 183024 025 /// /// 03
181400 1344N 14058W 6964 03173 0076 +090 +058 177023 025 /// /// 03
181430 1346N 14059W 6973 03161 0073 +090 +056 177023 023 024 000 00
181500 1348N 14059W 6974 03162 0073 +089 +059 176023 023 025 001 00
181530 1350N 14100W 6968 03166 0074 +088 +058 172024 025 025 000 00
181600 1351N 14100W 6970 03165 0067 +094 +060 175023 024 024 000 00
181630 1353N 14101W 6973 03161 0064 +096 +059 179023 023 026 000 00
181700 1355N 14102W 6969 03166 0065 +095 +060 178024 024 026 000 00
181730 1357N 14103W 6970 03161 0069 +091 +061 179025 026 024 000 00
181800 1359N 14103W 6970 03163 0074 +086 +069 180027 029 022 000 00
181830 1401N 14104W 6970 03163 0069 +091 +058 179026 026 023 000 00
181900 1403N 14104W 6965 03166 0064 +094 +057 183025 026 022 000 00
181930 1405N 14105W 6968 03163 0069 +088 +068 181027 028 024 000 00
182000 1407N 14105W 6971 03158 0077 +082 +074 184028 030 031 004 00
182030 1409N 14105W 6967 03163 0091 +070 //// 187032 035 033 007 01
182100 1411N 14106W 6967 03165 0079 +081 +071 185031 036 033 002 00
182130 1413N 14106W 6967 03163 0065 +093 +063 179032 033 033 002 00
$$
;
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#643 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:34 pm

Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:BEST only showing 120 KT smh this is why I don’t like to use it.


18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


Not seeing anything here at the updated url times.

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#644 Postby CyclonicFury » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:35 pm

120 kts does not make much sense. It should be 130-135 kts based on recon.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#645 Postby Alyono » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:37 pm

Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:BEST only showing 120 KT smh this is why I don’t like to use it.


18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


they should be called out for fake news with that one

if it is confirmed that is

Update, this has NOT been confirmed. 135 kts in the updated BT. Good job by CPHC
Last edited by Alyono on Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:43 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#646 Postby NotSparta » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:38 pm

Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:BEST only showing 120 KT smh this is why I don’t like to use it.


18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


Shades of JTWC
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#647 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:39 pm

Yeah, I'm not seeing it where I go. It'll probably update as soon as I hit the road again though.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#648 Postby Eric Webb » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:40 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934



Not seeing anything here at the updated url times.

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/


Hmmm it may have been subsequently removed, in any case this storm is not 120 kt lol
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#649 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:41 pm

Maybe it's an error.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#650 Postby Eric Webb » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:42 pm

NotSparta wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
18z update isn't out yet unless you're talking about 12z.


18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


Shades of JTWC


God help us when Hector crosses the International Dateline
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#651 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:42 pm

135 kt/936 mb.

EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 34, NEQ, 85, 60, 60, 85, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 50, NEQ, 45, 35, 35, 45, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#652 Postby NotSparta » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:43 pm

Eric Webb wrote:
NotSparta wrote:
Eric Webb wrote:
18z is out
10E HECTOR 180806 1800 15.1N 142.4W EPAC 120 934


Shades of JTWC


God help us when Hector crosses the International Dateline


"Welcome to a world of pure imagination" haha
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.

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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#653 Postby Eric Webb » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:43 pm

1900hurricane wrote:135 kt/936 mb.

EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 34, NEQ, 85, 60, 60, 85, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 50, NEQ, 45, 35, 35, 45, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,


Ahhh okay that’s much better I suspect they changed it when the recon data came in.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#654 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:44 pm

EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 34, NEQ, 85, 60, 60, 85, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 50, NEQ, 45, 35, 35, 45, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
EP, 10, 2018080618, , BEST, 0, 151N, 1424W, 135, 936, HU, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1010, 200, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, HECTOR, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018,
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#655 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:44 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
NDG wrote:The good news for Hawaii is that Hector continues this size no hurricane force winds should reach the Big Island, per the recon hurricane force winds only go out 40-50 miles from the eye. IMO.


How about TS winds?


In the NW quadrant they only went out 75 miles from the eye, at the most.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#656 Postby Eric Webb » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:50 pm

Really curious to see what the HHs find in the NE quad arguably the strongest in a TC that’s moving WNW
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Re: EPAC: HECTOR - Recon

#657 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:50 pm

636
URPN15 KNHC 061840
AF300 0210E HECTOR HDOB 32 20180806
183200 1456N 14112W 6971 03158 0058 +094 +064 170042 043 029 000 00
183230 1458N 14112W 6974 03152 0057 +095 +064 168041 042 029 000 00
183300 1500N 14113W 6965 03160 0052 +098 +061 169043 044 030 000 00
183330 1502N 14113W 6973 03153 0057 +095 +063 169041 042 031 000 00
183400 1504N 14113W 6973 03152 0054 +096 +062 168039 041 030 000 00
183430 1506N 14114W 6970 03156 0060 +090 +068 166040 041 031 000 00
183500 1509N 14114W 6969 03156 0060 +091 +069 161043 044 032 000 00
183530 1511N 14114W 6970 03158 0061 +090 +070 162044 044 032 000 00
183600 1513N 14115W 6970 03156 0063 +088 +070 161045 046 031 001 00
183630 1515N 14115W 6970 03154 0062 +088 +072 161046 046 029 001 00
183700 1517N 14115W 6970 03155 0064 +088 +073 160045 045 032 001 00
183730 1519N 14115W 6969 03156 0065 +087 +073 158044 045 031 000 00
183800 1521N 14116W 6969 03159 0081 +076 +075 154042 044 034 007 00
183830 1523N 14116W 6967 03159 0090 +068 //// 145042 043 036 010 01
183900 1526N 14116W 6969 03161 0096 +065 //// 141042 045 036 015 01
183930 1528N 14117W 6969 03160 0103 +061 //// 130036 040 036 015 01
184000 1529N 14117W 6957 03174 0103 +059 //// 127039 043 036 021 01
184030 1531N 14117W 6963 03169 0102 +062 //// 140041 045 037 014 01
184100 1533N 14118W 6981 03145 0104 +061 //// 137042 044 035 015 01
184130 1536N 14118W 6974 03157 0077 +082 +069 140041 043 033 005 00
$$
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#658 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:52 pm

I'm sure someone did the initial 120 knots Best Track as a prank to mess with us. :spam:

IMO, I think Recon will find a cat 5 with the NE pass.
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Re: CPAC: HECTOR - Hurricane

#659 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:52 pm

Good looking little thing.

Image
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Re: EPAC: HECTOR - Recon

#660 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 06, 2018 1:57 pm

380
URPN15 KNHC 061850
AF300 0210E HECTOR HDOB 33 20180806
184200 1538N 14118W 6966 03169 0085 +077 +069 135043 045 034 004 00
184230 1540N 14118W 6978 03155 0095 +069 //// 139044 048 034 004 01
184300 1542N 14119W 6965 03168 0091 +074 +070 135043 048 038 005 00
184330 1544N 14119W 6969 03164 0080 +083 +066 135043 045 037 004 00
184400 1546N 14119W 6972 03162 0077 +085 +067 134046 046 034 001 00
184430 1548N 14120W 6970 03163 0069 +091 +066 131045 046 032 001 03
184500 1550N 14120W 6970 03164 0063 +097 +067 132045 046 031 001 00
184530 1552N 14120W 6970 03162 0069 +092 +066 132046 046 028 001 00
184600 1554N 14120W 6971 03162 0064 +096 +065 132047 048 029 000 00
184630 1556N 14121W 6970 03164 0062 +097 +064 132046 047 029 000 00
184700 1558N 14121W 6970 03166 0066 +095 +061 133047 047 026 000 00
184730 1600N 14121W 6970 03167 0072 +091 +063 132048 048 025 000 00
184800 1602N 14122W 6970 03168 0070 +093 +060 132049 049 025 000 00
184830 1604N 14122W 6970 03167 0068 +094 +061 134048 049 025 000 00
184900 1606N 14122W 6970 03164 0064 +099 +060 132046 048 025 000 00
184930 1608N 14123W 6965 03170 0062 +099 +060 131047 048 026 000 00
185000 1610N 14123W 6970 03170 0062 +101 +061 131048 048 026 000 00
185030 1613N 14123W 6971 03162 0065 +098 +063 129049 049 024 000 00
185100 1615N 14123W 6970 03165 0062 +100 +061 128048 048 024 000 00
185130 1617N 14124W 6974 03162 0067 +096 +061 127046 048 025 000 00
$$
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