WPAC: MANGKHUT - Post-Tropical

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cjrciadt
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#661 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:29 am

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.8 7.2 7.2
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#662 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:32 am

We measured a couple of 45 kt gusts and the strongest was 51 kts. I'm in Cebu City. Moderate rain. Strong gale.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#663 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:34 am

Mangkhut will be the strongest typhoon for area in the NE since Typhoon Gordon 1989
Note: I honestly think Gordon is a tad stronger than Mangkhut though it got underestimated by JMA and JTWC.

 https://twitter.com/WXappraiser/status/1040622634017288192


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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#664 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:46 am

I think we could see a very low pressure reading from this one - sub-900 is a distinct possibility if any of the chasers (Josh, James or the PAGASA chasers) managed to get into the eye.

1987 TY Nida's national pressure record is in jeopardy
Last edited by mrbagyo on Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#665 Postby Highteeld » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:47 am

mrbagyo wrote:I think we could see a very low pressure reading from this one - sub-900 is a distinct possibility if any of the chasers (Josh, James or the PAGASA chasers) managed to get into the eye

Hell I could see it being 885-890. This storm peaked at the right time.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#666 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:55 am

May I ask?? Why are winds approaching 100 km/h in Cebu? Is this a mesocyclone? TS-force winds have been on for over two hours.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#667 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:06 am

Josh is headed for Gonzaga and the muni hall there. We felt it was the best spot to intercept the eye. Going to Santa Ana was becoming to dangerous. Not that the drive to gonzaga will be easy.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#668 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:06 am

Now I would say even Labor Day Hurricane's pressure record might also be in jeopardy
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#669 Postby Highteeld » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:07 am

Image

Looks about the same as Meranti. This typhoon lived up to its expectations.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#670 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:10 am

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1040632177778515968


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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#671 Postby WAcyclone » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:14 am

Conditions as of 1600 UTC at Josh's Buguey location: 34 kt (63 km/h) gusting to 74 kt (137 km/h). Pressure 983 mb. So not surprising the road was blocked...

https://weather.us/observations/1211-e-183-n/gusts-10min/20180914-1600z.html
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#672 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:23 am

3-4hrs ago, >50kt winds have already reached the coast.

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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#673 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:24 am

On the other hand, the northward shift in track is putting Pearl river delta at great risk of direct impacts. Mangkhut could be worse than Typhoon Hato for that region if it manages to keep the inner core intact after crossing Luzon.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#674 Postby WAcyclone » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:42 am

Josh's location seems to be just south of Buguey. Looks like he is in the right spot to get the centre:

Image
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#675 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:46 am

HWRF is back to normal now and it initializes current pressure near 906mb. Seems pretty reasonable to me.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#676 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:50 am

Another Doppler radar is in danger - the Aparri radar
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#677 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:56 am

How it intensified despite having an EWRC is just a testament of the magic of the Philippines Sea effect
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#678 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:59 am

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1040643754196123648


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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#679 Postby NotoSans » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:00 pm

HKO has scheduled to conduct a recon mission on Mangkhut tomorrow.
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Re: WPAC: MANGKHUT - Typhoon

#680 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:03 pm

Aparri station reporting 72kph sustained and a SLP of 982.5 mb at 12 midnight.

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