CPAC: LANE - Post-Tropical

[Yellow Evan]

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 21 AUG 2018 Time : 160000 UTC
Lat : 14:07:48 N Lon : 152:23:59 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.4 / 939.3mb/124.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.4 6.5 6.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : +15.4C Cloud Region Temp : -68.9C

[Yellow Evan]

This is likely a Category 5. Tight inner core and 135 FL already.

[gatorcane]

Hopefully the shear will really rip into this if it heads towards Hawaii.

[BYG Jacob]

Hopefully the shear will really rip into this if it heads towards Hawaii.

If it heads toward Hawaii? Its on a collision course

[NotoSans]

Latest microwave revealed a very impressive structure.

[NotoSans]

This is likely a Category 5. Tight inner core and 135 FL already.

Recon in NW quad suggests 135 knots.

[CyclonicFury]

First recon pass supports an intensity of about 135 kt but the NE quadrant might have winds to support a C5 upgrade.

[Ntxw]

[BYG Jacob]

He has the look down.

[OahuWahine]

Hi, everyone. Long time lurker but had to make a new account because I forgot my password. I have a boarding up question. I live kind of close to Pearl Harbor and my bedroom windows face to the south (toward the harbor). Is it necessary to board them up? I'm a single mom with three kids and I've never had to do anything like this on my own. Not even sure what kind of wood to buy, like thickness wise. Would they know at Home Depot?

I have four cases of water left over from Hector but I'm thinking I will need more. Haven't had time to venture out yet due to work but I will have to today. Hopefully the stores aren't out already.

[CrazyC83]

Agreed with 135 kt for the intensity given the latest data. Pressure likely down to about 942mb.

[Alyono]

Hi, everyone. Long time lurker but had to make a new account because I forgot my password. I have a boarding up question. I live kind of close to Pearl Harbor and my bedroom windows face to the south (toward the harbor). Is it necessary to board them up? I'm a single mom with three kids and I've never had to do anything like this on my own. Not even sure what kind of wood to buy, like thickness wise. Would they know at Home Depot?

I have four cases of water left over from Hector but I'm thinking I will need more. Haven't had time to venture out yet due to work but I will have to today. Hopefully the stores aren't out already.

either shutters or at least 3/4 inch thick plywood.

A question you will need to answer is how well is the home constructed?

[supercane4867]

Hawaii's luck is running out.

[Alyono]

EC looks to have made a significant west shift

[Kingarabian]

12z Euro through 48 hours, stronger and a bit more west:

[OahuWahine]

Hi, everyone. Long time lurker but had to make a new account because I forgot my password. I have a boarding up question. I live kind of close to Pearl Harbor and my bedroom windows face to the south (toward the harbor). Is it necessary to board them up? I'm a single mom with three kids and I've never had to do anything like this on my own. Not even sure what kind of wood to buy, like thickness wise. Would they know at Home Depot?

I have four cases of water left over from Hector but I'm thinking I will need more. Haven't had time to venture out yet due to work but I will have to today. Hopefully the stores aren't out already.

either shutters or at least 3/4 inch thick plywood.

A question you will need to answer is how well is the home constructed?

The main home was built in the 70s but I live in an attached upgrade that was built in 2007. I have a leak in my roof that I have to go up and fix today. A little worried about that, too.

[NotoSans]

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 152.6W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

CPHC also up to 135 knots.

[Cunxi Huang]

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 152.6W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

CPHC 135 kt.

[Alyono]

Hi, everyone. Long time lurker but had to make a new account because I forgot my password. I have a boarding up question. I live kind of close to Pearl Harbor and my bedroom windows face to the south (toward the harbor). Is it necessary to board them up? I'm a single mom with three kids and I've never had to do anything like this on my own. Not even sure what kind of wood to buy, like thickness wise. Would they know at Home Depot?

I have four cases of water left over from Hector but I'm thinking I will need more. Haven't had time to venture out yet due to work but I will have to today. Hopefully the stores aren't out already.

either shutters or at least 3/4 inch thick plywood.

A question you will need to answer is how well is the home constructed?

The main home was built in the 70s but I live in an attached upgrade that was built in 2007. I have a leak in my roof that I have to go up and fix today. A little worried about that, too.

doesn't sound like your roof would survive hurricane force winds

[BYG Jacob]

143 kts in the dropsonde, don't think its enough for an upgrade though.