ATL: BARRY - Models
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- lrak
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
For two days the Euro has been trending SW which is concerning.
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AKA karl
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Alicia? What year?[/quote]TexWx wrote:
1983[/quote]
I was 5 I remember it well.
How much can we trust these models on intensity?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Can someone tell me how many members are on the Eps and what the spread is looking like?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
![up arrow :uarrow:](./images/smilies/icon_arrowu.gif)
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- p1nheadlarry
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Oh, how the tides turn. Yesterday the ECMWF was a clear outlier, now it's the GFS.
it is not exactly an outlier. it is just having some issues with the vorticity. the overall reasoning for track is inline with the euro.
Do they initialize vorticity? It's a calculated field; do they use the 12z model wind and height data or recently observed wind/height data and calculate the advection?
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--;->#GoNoles--;->.
- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Still no HWRF or HMON.I guess they will begin to run at 00z.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/avPVgPe.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/avPVgPe.png)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Cpv17 wrote:Can someone tell me how many members are on the Eps and what the spread is looking like?
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/6KkYQJ7.png)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
cycloneye wrote:Still no HWRF or HMON.I guess they will begin to run at 00z.
https://i.imgur.com/avPVgPe.png
This is higher intensity than I saw last run. If my amateur brain is working.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Nam 00z still likes a closer to the coast solution through 57 hours.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
0z ICON shifts east by about 100 miles and is also stronger. Landfall is Central Louisiana at 980mb.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
stormlover2013 wrote:It’s the icon lol..it’s just like the cmc
It’s also a model and this is the model thread.
![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif)
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This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
MississippiWx wrote:stormlover2013 wrote:It’s the icon lol..it’s just like the cmc
It’s also a model and this is the model thread.
Lol I hear u
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
As if the 0z GFS wants to stack the low and mid level circulations better may end up stronger than previous runs.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
GFS might be starting to cave to the ECMWF, 00z coming in a touch stronger now and further south.
EDIT: Significantly stronger now, 1001mb by 76 hours.
EDIT: Significantly stronger now, 1001mb by 76 hours.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
The strongest run from GFS since it began with this.997 mbs at 96 hours.
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