ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[w5yne]

so woke expecting it to be on land and a Hurricane

Path of the Storm is now directly over my house if it keeps this track

[BRweather]

Is there anything to believe with the HRRR? It has consistently been thinking that southeast Louisiana will get very little rain as all the storms remain offshore and tightly close to the center.

[NDG]

People in Lafayette and New Iberia must be like "what do you mean Barry's coc is on top of us, there's barely a drizzle and a light breeze outside"

[Innotech]

feels that way currently, although every now and then a gust comes by that really grabs my attention.

[Dylan]

 https://twitter.com/dylanfedericowx/status/1150020626926702592

[StormLogic]

Barry, where are you going..

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=96

[p1nheadlarry]

On second thought, looking at this a little more closely; there is a 4500 CAPE ridge over the Loop Current and surface winds are driving that air into the NE quad of Barry and into the eastern end of LA. Need to watch this since it may slowly erode SBCIN.

How much of that is diurnally driven (nocturnal inversion)? Looks like the land /sea contrast is evident too.

SBCIN is typically driven by land heating during the day. If skies are moderately clear, the heat given off by solar heating of the land warms up the boundary layer causing the temperature inversion, that comes from overnight cooling, to dissipate, allowing air to lift and convection to fire.

Yes, which is then diurnal by definition. Not sure how clear the skies were but it seemed to be 50-75% cloud cover outside of some showers/storms around 4-6 PM. Also convection introduces low theta-e air which can creep down to the Bl via downdrafts.

[GCANE]

Going to be hell once the rain train hits.

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 02, 2019071312, , BEST, 0, 293N, 919W, 65, 993, HU

[GCANE]

Last recon drop, just south of the coast, showing a saturated boundary layer.

[Bunkertor]

https://i.imgur.com/9u35Ule.gif

and thats not even the really bad stuff.. yikes look whats coming https://col.st/4RsvR

wob wob

[w5yne]

very light breeze in Crowley now, its constant but light
with a few rain drops now and again
Breeze is coming out the NE ??

[otowntiger]

so woke expecting it to be on land and a Hurricane

Path of the Storm is now directly over my house if it keeps this track

And definitely no hurricane, barely a t.s. And so far all the rain is drying up before it makes it to shore. :edit: winds up to 70mph, but wow this is the most disorganized and lopsided 70 mph tsk I’ve ever seen.

[NDG]

First vis satellite loop clear shows landfall over Vermillion Bay south of Lafayette/New Iberia this morning. The Euro nailed it, it fairly persistent many times in this area for a number of runs. UKMET was only something like 200 miles west of it, lol. Even the ICON had it in this area for a number of runs.

[ScottNAtlanta]

That almost looks like it is rotating around the big blob to the south

[GCANE]

NHC FTP has it tagged Cat 1.
They will find 65 knt+ surface winds in the heavy convection SE of the CoC.

[stormlover2013]

it will be a hurricane

[Nancy Smar]

it will be a hurricane

It has become a hurricane.

[SouthernMet]

That almost looks like it is rotating around the big blob to the south

Agreed, and that’s pretty obvious to me. I guess I would be in the minority believing that the coc is still off shore.

[Frank P]

That almost looks like it is rotating around the big blob to the south

Agreed, and that’s pretty obvious to me. I guess I would be in the minority believing that the coc is still off shore.

well with all the LLC Barry has been spitting out the past two day I think anyone having any doubt would be justified...