ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Gums]

Salute!

@sea breeze Looke a lot like Erin of 1995 fame. Blew over a missile at Patrick and we went thru the eye while staying at a motel south of Orlando ( was at a conference). We later experienced it when we got home near Desin and had a tree come thru the roof, heh heh.

Seems like Katrina also transitted Florida before turning north.

I don't like the southerly model runs, and we're well evacuated now but three days driving home for damage assessment. We're about 50 miles SW of Denver and surge not a biggie up here at 8000 feet.

Gums sends...

[Highteeld]

easily the best microwave pass yet

[AdamFirst]

Right on the doorstep of a hurricane. Radar shows banding wrapping around the eastern side of the core. Dont think its closed off quite yet but it's making a cheeky attempt at an eye

[Jr0d]

Just saw someone claim they were with Team Rubicon in Cocoa Beach on Mike weather's page live feed, said it will just be a rainmaker and not much more.

That said, I know most are taking this seriously and getting prepared.

And this is a fine example, sorry Jr0d but someone claiming someone said is not good enough. Please make sure you have verifiable information before posting. We do have a Discord chatroom where the rules are a lot more forgiving (link in my signature).

My SO was watching the feed on her phone or I would have screen shot it.(I wanted to) Nonetheless it's just a claim that few saw and hopefully no one would take seriously, especially given the official NWS is predicting hurricane conditions Sunday.

To change the subject, the MyRadar app has the San Juan radar, overall it is a sub par radar app but at least it has that going for it.

[wx98]

It’s about to cross the eastern end of St. Croix

[alienstorm]

 https://twitter.com/Phinernie/status/1166722137962496000

[Blown Away]

11am track has to come south... IMHO

[jlauderdal]

11am track has to come south... IMHO

50 miles, at least then another bump south at 5 if the next euro runs stays consistent

[jlauderdal]

It’s about to cross the eastern end of St. Croix

the hurricane hunters wont have to fly far to get in the center...they have a base there

[GCANE]

Strongest convection on the SE Eyewall.
Vortex should be out soon.
We'll see if they say its closed off.

[wx98]

It’s about to cross the eastern end of St. Croix

the hurricane hunters wont have to fly far to get in the center...they have a base there

Doubt they’re using that one today

[tropicwatch]

They are flying out of Curacao.

[wx98]

Up to 70 mph, pressure down to 999 at 15z
Almost a hurricane

[msbee]

Thankfully, Dorian has basically been a non event for us on St Maarten.
OUr sister island of Saba, 40 miles South is a different story.
This is a video of flooding at Fort Bay, Saba, occurring there now.
Even a tropical storm can give us huge problems on our islands.
https://www.facebook.com/721news/videos ... 690130059/

[chris_fit]

Waiting till the last min to release the 11am updates.... normally they are 10-15-20 min early :-P

[idaknowman]

Virgin Islands are in the thick of it.

https://imgur.com/a/zKVltuf

[Michele B]

Up to 70 mph, pressure down to 999 at 15z
Almost a hurricane

Finally broke below 1000. Now we'll see intensification, I think.

[Evil Jeremy]

11am NHC 5 day point is just a smidge south of 5am. Just offshore Cape Canaveral.

You can tell how uncertain the NHC is right now in the track given they are still not showing a landfall.

[tropicwatch]

I am on the NHC website and don't see where they have given the 11am update.

[Kazmit]

It was a smart idea to issue hurricane watches. I must admit- yesterday I was doubting that they were necessary, but it looks like Dorian will be a hurricane while passing PR and the VIs.