ATL: DORIAN - Models

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2241 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:14 am

AtlanticWind wrote:Does the storm look larger on this Euro run?

it is stronger
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2242 Postby stormhunter7 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:14 am

96hrs heading west and deepening for sure on Euro.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2243 Postby Highteeld » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 am

Full 10 mb deeper at hour 66 vs hour 78 (0z vs 12z)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2244 Postby climateconcernnew » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 am

Oh Euro seems sticking to their previous runs.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2245 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 am

96 hr ... powerful hurricane heading towards PBC
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2246 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 am

Knocking on south florida doorstep

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2247 Postby STRiZZY » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 am

Image

96HR
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2248 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:16 am

96hrs it’s due west of wpb 965mb
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2249 Postby sponger » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:16 am

Euro zeroing in South Central Florida. Intensity is suspect but let's hope it validates. I fear it will be far worse.
Last edited by sponger on Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2250 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:17 am

Wow. It is a crazy feeling watching nearly every model start to narrow in towards your area.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2251 Postby STRiZZY » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:17 am

Much slower than yesterdays 00z run
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2252 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:17 am

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Cant tell the direction but it would need to move due west to come on shore at Palm Beach


Looks to be heading that way
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2253 Postby Highteeld » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:17 am

eastcoastFL wrote:96hrs it’s due west of wpb 965mb

Hi-res will be deeper than that most likely. been about 10-15 deeper at each hour
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2254 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:18 am

Not good for anyone but at least there seems to be no WSW movement
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2255 Postby fci » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:18 am

scogor wrote:Might be 1:30 for many of you but now 7:30 a.m. for me as we are river cruising in Europe and 6 hours ahead of our home base on Florida’s west coast. Very bizarre model watching from the other side of the Atlantic.

I’m South Florida but been in California for 10 days so its weird that the models aren’t exactly so later for me!
But home tomorrow night and if UK is right I’ll meet Dorian in 132 hours or so.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2256 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:18 am

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Wow. It is a crazy feeling watching nearly every model start to narrow in towards your area.


Makes me feel less bad about all the money I spent on flights and hotels to get out of here Friday morning.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2257 Postby Highteeld » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:18 am

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2258 Postby sma10 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:18 am

Euro same general idea trackwise as past couple runs.

But a bit slower forward speed, no?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2259 Postby blp » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:19 am

I suspect a WSW dip is coming following the ULL to the SW.
Last edited by blp on Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2260 Postby Highteeld » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:20 am

sma10 wrote:Euro same general idea trackwise as past couple runs.

But a bit slower forward speed, no?

looks a couple hours slower, yeah.

that would indicate this will be the strongest landfall
Last edited by Highteeld on Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

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