ATL: DORIAN - Models

[caneseddy]

Canadian now with the northernmost landfall..looks like just south of the Space Coast after scraping the coast of PNC

[Highteeld]

Icon 108hrs still going west or maybe just north of west. Wave infront of it seem stronger as well

[caneseddy]

[Youtube][/Youtube]

Icon 108hrs still going west or maybe just north of west. Wave infront of it seem stronger as well

https://i.imgur.com/GTkSIQG.png

ICON has been consistent with its runs

[Highteeld]

[caneseddy]

Miami-Dade landfall on ICON

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Thank u all for the update, Damn it has not wavered for a long time in it's runs.

[sma10]

Icon 108hrs still going west or maybe just north of west. Wave infront of it seem stronger as well

https://i.imgur.com/GTkSIQG.png

This track just batters Andros for a solid 24 hrs

[caneseddy]

HMOn due west towards Miami..

[northjaxpro]

this GFS run looks like something someone would wishcast if they hated FLorida...would take out WPB, Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jax!!!

The good news is, orlando,tampa,jax would get a tropical storm - assuming timing stays the same.

At 991, which the GFS forecasts, that could still be a Cat 1 storm. And like mentioned, now you’re talking about more places receiving catastrophic rainfall and Gulf waters being pushed in Tampa Bay.

There’s also the problem of probably the largest peacetime evacuation with this storm.

Dorian could be a nightmare for the entire state given the extreme complex setup due to the slow.movement of the hurricane. Dorian will have the potential unfortunately to being among, if not maybe being the costliest natural disasters we will.see.

[Highteeld]

Folks at the Hurricane Center are probably starting to really feel worried about this storm.

[sma10]

Miami-Dade landfall on ICON

This is actually a devastating hit. Because of the angle and forward speed it basically nails every portion of the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area. No one is spared

[jdray]

this GFS run looks like something someone would wishcast if they hated FLorida...would take out WPB, Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jax!!!

The good news is, orlando,tampa,jax would get a tropical storm - assuming timing stays the same.

Irma was just a tropical storm for JAX.
The rain fall amounts for NE Florida would cause a lot of flooding. Duval, Clay, and St Johns counties are very vulnerable to flooding from hurricanes, and Irma quickly reminded people.

Irma set all time flood level records in some of the creeks around here. The St Johns River overflowed in downtown Jacksonville, , Black creek set a new flood record of 30+ feet (more than 6ft above the previous).

https://www.jacksonville.com/photogalle ... 09995/PH/1
https://www.actionnewsjax.com/news/phot ... /607918247

https://projects.tampabay.com/projects/ ... hurricane/


I'm not concerned about the winds so much where I am at, I am concerned about the rainfall totals.

[StPeteMike]

145 needs to come soon. Should be the start of a clear consensus of where Dorian will go. Unfortunately, I’m not looking forward to what it will show.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

It would seem more shifts south on the next advisory.

[Highteeld]

145 needs to come soon. Should be the start of a clear consensus of where Dorian will go. Unfortunately, I’m not looking forward to what it will show.

if it trends like the icon, we could see a sub-940 mb landfall

[AxaltaRacing24]

Folks at the Hurricane Center are probably starting to really feel worried about this storm.

I think everybody is starting to feel really worried about this one. It’s starting to sink in for me that this is going to be really bad for our state.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

I have to agree I have been in my mind playing this off. But can no longer ignore what is becoming more apparent of what is to come.

[caneseddy]

HMON is Andrew Part 2..heading straight west to Southern Miami Dade

[StPeteMike]

Folks at the Hurricane Center are probably starting to really feel worried about this storm.

I think everybody is starting to feel really worried about this one. It’s starting to sink in for me that this is going to be really bad for our state.

Yep, getting flashbacks of preparing and the days before Irma.

[northjaxpro]

ukmet.

https://i.ibb.co/JR90Cch/Capture.png

UKMET has been rock solid once again! I look at this situation playing out like this with Dorian. The entire peninsula is going to be hammered wth severe impacts especially potential devastating flooding, due to very slow movement by the hurricane well into next week.