ATL: HUMBERTO - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
I’d advise ignoring the very lost 12Z GFS riding up the FL coast as nothing like that is going to happen from all indications/nowcasting. Therefore, the entire run is pretty worthless.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
LarryWx wrote:
I’d advise ignoring the very lost 12Z GFS riding up the FL coast as nothing like that is going to happen from all indications/nowcasting. Therefore, the entire run is pretty worthless.
Pretty bold statement. Of course you were ready to bite after one Euro run. Let us see what this afternoon shows.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
sponger wrote:LarryWx wrote:
I’d advise ignoring the very lost 12Z GFS riding up the FL coast as nothing like that is going to happen from all indications/nowcasting. Therefore, the entire run is pretty worthless.
Pretty bold statement. Of course you were ready to bite after one Euro run. Let us see what this afternoon shows.
It's not bold when you look at the visible satellite, GFS starts off way too far west.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
12z Init
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
12Z Euro was initialized pretty well (maybe far enough east). 12Z Euro hour 42 map strongly suggests that this run will be even further from FL and easily staying OTS. Let's see.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
LarryWx wrote:12Z Euro was initialized pretty well (maybe far enough east). 12Z Euro hour 42 map strongly suggests that this run will be even further from FL and easily staying OTS. Let's see.
dont forget the 6z started moving SE.. sofar very similar setup to the 6z
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:LarryWx wrote:12Z Euro was initialized pretty well (maybe far enough east). 12Z Euro hour 42 map strongly suggests that this run will be even further from FL and easily staying OTS. Let's see.
dont forget the 6z started moving SE.. sofar very similar setup to the 6z
Good point, but with the 12Z Euro, it is starting off from a position further east off FL making it that much more difficult to come back to FL. Let's see. I still think it is easily staying OTS.
Last edited by LarryWx on Fri Sep 13, 2019 1:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
LarryWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:LarryWx wrote:12Z Euro was initialized pretty well (maybe far enough east). 12Z Euro hour 42 map strongly suggests that this run will be even further from FL and easily staying OTS. Let's see.
dont forget the 6z started moving SE.. sofar very similar setup to the 6z
Good point, but with the 12Z Euro, it is starting off from a position further east off FL making it that much more difficult to come back to FL. Let's see I still think it is easily staying OTS.
Idk I was looking at it.. its pretty much identical. hard to tell
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:LarryWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:
dont forget the 6z started moving SE.. sofar very similar setup to the 6z
Good point, but with the 12Z Euro, it is starting off from a position further east off FL making it that much more difficult to come back to FL. Let's see I still think it is easily staying OTS.
Idk I was looking at it.. its pretty much identical. hard to tell
Hour 72 of the 12Z Euro is 100 miles east of the hour 78 of the 6Z Euro.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Ridge building back in from the west and looks to be moving slowly due east hour 72-84 on 12z Euro.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
weaker ridge to the east stronger to the north very similar to 6z. trough leaving.. the next image will tell all.
looks like its getting left behind.. but whooo knows
probably going to be more ensembles doing loops.
looks like its getting left behind.. but whooo knows
probably going to be more ensembles doing loops.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Up, up, and away after 96 hours???
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
OMG...please don't let this thing stall over that area again
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Easy escape, based on this pattern.
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