ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[StormPyrate]

May be just a wobble, but last few frames on slider seems a tiny north trend if you look at a straight line since sun rise

Not seeing that... actually looks like more of a south wobble to me

I was going to say the same thing! I’m not sure if my eyes are playing with me but it appears to almost moving wsw by a hair. Could just be a wobble.

It could be my eyes, but even radar seems to show it on the track line and slight north component
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/current-weather-conditions/south-florida/large-scale-loop

[northjaxpro]

Extrap 913mb

RI continuing

Dropped about 5 mb in 2 hours.

[Airboy]

That was a quick pressure drop

[supercane4867]

Eye is really torching now on multiple bands. I'm expecting another 3-4 mb pressure drop this pass.

It actually maxed out the color scale on WV. What the hell????

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

i bet this goes sub-900

[SunnyThoughts]

Extrap 913mb

Noooo, it's tooo much, just insanity!!!

Is there a threshold where this storm just CANNOT get any stronger....is it even possible for it to go sub 900? I'm completely out of words for how Dorian looks.

[FLpanhandle91]

164 kt peak unflagged SFMR. Pressure 913mb

[Chris90]

Eyewall dropsonde recorded 176kt surface winds, which I believe is a new record for surface winds measured by drop.
I think those SFMR readings are valid. There was also 195kts measured not too far up from the surface with that drop.
I believe this is a 170kt hurricane. Absolutely unbelievable.

[eastcoastFL]

Dorian looks to be expanding in size on IR

[BYG Jacob]

164 knots unflagged

[1900hurricane]

Eye is really torching now on multiple bands. I'm expecting another 3-4 mb pressure drop this pass.

It actually maxed out the color scale on WV. What the hell????


https://i.imgur.com/75QmrJB.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/yVwcTZV.jpg

Holy crap. Is that on band 9? Band 8 has to be looking pretty toasty too, especially compared to the surrounding environment.

[Hayabusa]

The center of Hurricane Dorian, at 01/1200 UTC, is near 26.5N
76.5W. This position is about 35 nm/ to the east of Great Abaco
Island in the Bahamas, and about 225 nm to the east of West Palm
Beach in Florida. Dorian is moving W, or 275 degrees, 8 knots.
The maximum sustained wind speeds are 160 knots with gusts to 170
knots. Dorian is a Category 5 hurricane.

160 knots sustained?

https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/hurrica ... ussion.txt

Thats a typo, based off of a previous advisory (note the higher central pressure of 927mb; current pressure is around 920). Thats supposed to be 160mph

It looks like the forecasters had a freudian slip with the way things are now

[SunnyThoughts]

164 kt peak unflagged SFMR. Pressure 913mb

190mph...Jesus

[cjrciadt]

All I can say right now...
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jkPwc43-9ic

[GCANE]

26.48N 76.76W
913.0mb

Just half a hair north of due west.
Most likely just a wobble

[CrazyC83]

Eyewall dropsonde recorded 176kt surface winds, which I believe is a new record for surface winds measured by drop.
I think those SFMR readings are valid. There was also 195kts measured not too far up from the surface with that drop.
I believe this is a 170kt hurricane. Absolutely unbelievable.

I'd want to see flight level winds much higher before going into uncharted waters like that. At this rate, who knows, maybe it will close off a CDG ring and end up like Haiyan or Patricia?

[xironman]

With the NOAA plane I am still getting at least 12mph

[wxman57]

Last 3 hr movement 20.9nm = about 7 kts (8 mph), as measured on my workstation. Still slowing down, as predicted. Significant slowdown expected this evening.

[stormsurf]

They just issued a mandatory evacuation of the barrier islands in Palm Beach County.

[Jr0d]

I really hope the chasers out there are out of harms way. Worst case scenerio for the Marsh Harbor area.