ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[RL3AO]

How much ACE has this thing produced?

Just passed 40.

[psyclone]

The center going west of the Outer Banks would lead to some devastating storm surge. It would give them the eastern eyewall and the strongest on shore winds.

Hurricane pass cutting potential if it does sneak in over/west of cape lookout. Storm reminds me of Wilma (post Yucatan) or Ike (post Cuba)

[edu2703]

How much ACE has this thing produced?

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1169415027851350016

[supercane4867]

100 frame radar loop. You can clearly see the inner core consolidating throughout today

[invest man]

Anyone think NHC landfalls this in NC Onslow Carteret County line area? That is inland west of Cape Lookout. This is where last Euro brings it in.

[tolakram]

Takeoff and already in storm.

[jlauderdal]

How much ACE has this thing produced?

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/statu ... 7851350016

Thanks...i figured it was a high number but not top 3%.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon down to 953.3
I havent looked at the winds yet since only one quadrant has been sampled

[Vdogg]

Left for a few hours to take care of some stuff and now it sounds like everything has changed. If the eye goes west of the OBX SEVA has to be put in the hurricane warning...

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Unlike last time, this one appears more legit.

953.2 mb
(~ 28.15 inHg)

[wx98]

Recon down to 953.3
I havent looked at the winds yet since only one quadrant has been sampled

The SE quad looks much stronger than the NW based on that pass

[boulderrr]

Recon down to 953.3
I havent looked at the winds yet since only one quadrant has been sampled

The SE quad looks much stronger than the NW based on that pass

IR shows that as well.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon down to 953.3
I havent looked at the winds yet since only one quadrant has been sampled

The SE quad looks much stronger than the NW based on that pass

Just outside the center on SE side is 90kts at the surface and they only sent through about 6 readings past the center. Next group could have higher winds

[mlfreeman]

The winds were picking up here in Jax as the sun set. I was surprised to actually get to see the sunset. I guess the radar edge was the cloud edge too.

[supercane4867]

The eye is becoming more rounded and circular. Can we really make it a run to CAT4?

[tropicwatch]

Wandering if it slowing down. HH lowest pressure reading ese of last position.

[edu2703]

Dropsonde got 956 with 11 kt wind, so ~955mb probably

[ScottNAtlanta]

I'd say probably it will make a run at cat 3 but it would take a whole lot to get to 4...this is a much larger storm size wise than it was over the weekend

[supercane4867]

Very intense core presentation on the most recent microwave pass.

[CrazyC83]

Could this end up like 1958's Hurricane Helene I wonder? It did become a strong cat 4 in that part of the world.