ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[plasticup]

If this isn't landfall, I'll eat my hat.

[GeneratorPower]

If this isn't landfall, I'll eat my hat.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_05L_201909061207.jpg?3412831

If you legit eat your hat and post a verifiable video of it, I will legit buy you a new hat up to $20 in value. Dorian has so far refused to make landfall in the US. I think it continues to refuse.

[wx98]

Based on radar the absolute center is going to slide just southeast by 5 miles or so, but the whole cape is in the eye so...

[NotSparta]

If this isn't landfall, I'll eat my hat.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_05L_201909061207.jpg?3412831

Don't forget the satellite parallax effect, radar shows center just south of landfall

[supercane4867]

Eyewall sweeping the coast but I guess there's no landfall. The absolute center is off the coast

[supercane4867]

 https://twitter.com/dillonhuffmantv/status/1169937205269270528




 https://twitter.com/nwsmoreheadcity/status/1169955211084877824




Looks like Dorian’s impact on NC maybe worse than Matthew

[Hurricane Jed]

Landfall according to the most recent update

[plasticup]

...DORIAN MAKES LANDFALL OVER CAPE HATTERAS...

Surface and radar data indicate that the center of Hurricane Dorian
made landfall at 835 AM EDT (1235 UTC) over Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina. Maximum sustained winds were near 90 mph (150 km/h) with
a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Hats off the menu.

[Hurricane Jed]

...DORIAN MAKES LANDFALL OVER CAPE HATTERAS...

Surface and radar data indicate that the center of Hurricane Dorian
made landfall at 835 AM EDT (1235 UTC) over Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina. Maximum sustained winds were near 90 mph (150 km/h) with
a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Hats off the menu.

*puts away the A1 sauce*

[wxman57]

I don't know, the center may have stayed offshore by about 100 ft...

[Visioen]

It feels almost like the goal is to maximize damage while maintaining its own health

[supercane4867]

NHC says landfall, but it looks like a very marginal case

[Raebie]

Outer Banks being hit with a ton of surge, record flooding in progress.

[CronkPSU]

NHC says landfall, but it looks like a very marginal case

https://i.imgur.com/KFLTYD9.gif

the IR and other loops make the case a lot stronger than radar, I am fine with it being classified a landfall, sure it doesn't make a difference to those people who went thru the eyewall right now

[Ken711]

NHC says landfall, but it looks like a very marginal case

https://i.imgur.com/KFLTYD9.gif

NHC forecasted track of Dorian was right on as usual.

[Ken711]

Still bravely flying.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vGimsBVpuN8

[supercane4867]

Major storm surge flooding underway

 https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1169970766529662976




 https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1169968496350060544




 https://twitter.com/nwsmoreheadcity/status/1169964453061742593

[gpickett00]

So interesting that "parallax" effect. The infrared looks 100% like a landfall but the radar looks 100% like it didn't

[Hypercane_Kyle]

So interesting that "parallax" effect. The infrared looks 100% like a landfall but the radar looks 100% like it didn't

Yea, makes sense because the geostationary satellite is viewing Dorian from an oblique angle: GOES-16 is at 0N and Dorian is at 35.4N. The parallax effect becomes more noticeable as the storm increases with latitude.

[plasticup]

Pamlico Sound is 6 ft above neutral tide, well into the major flood range. Approaching the 6.38 ft historic crest.

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=mhx&gage=hcgn7

Also interesting to see the water recede 1-2 feet in the 6 hours before the storm arrived. I didn't know storm surges did that.