ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

That little tower over the exposed swirl is already dissipating, torn apart by shear.

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

[SoupBone]

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Can you red X it on a quick and dirty graphic?

[tailgater]

Looks like it is really starting to fire off some convection west and south of the previous naked swirl that is rotating southwestward. Should be deepening soon but there’s still plenty of dry air around.

[Aric Dunn]

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Can you red X it on a quick and dirty graphic?

Red X what ?

[gfsperpendicular]

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Will be coming right at DMAX as well. I think this is Barry's best opportunity for consolidation.

[tarheelprogrammer]

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Will be coming right at DMAX as well. I think this is Barry's best opportunity for consolidation.

If it fails to consolidate here, then it is likely going to stay a weak to moderate TS.

[gfsperpendicular]

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Can you red X it on a quick and dirty graphic?

[artist]

It is going to have a lot of energy when it bottoms out..

Can you red X it on a quick and dirty graphic?

Red X what ?

We want an image where you think it is

[GCANE]

Swirl popped one.

Nah, that's not the center. It's the little swirl that moved SW past the mouth of the Mississippi a few hours ago. There really isn't a well-defined center, just a central point between all the little eddies. that makes it very hard to strengthen. Here's a sat pic with red crosshairs where the center may be. It's east of that little vortex that's now rotating southward.

http://wxman57.com/images/Barry1.JPG

Yes, I know that. Just made a comment.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Scary:

 https://twitter.com/NishaaBabess/status/1149382693588783105

[Aric Dunn]

Can you red X it on a quick and dirty graphic?

Red X what ?

We want an image where you think it is

The big naked swirl ?

[tailgater]

Saw a reading of 104.5 mb from the recon near that swirl rotating southward

[gfsperpendicular]

Saw a reading of 104.5 mb from the recon near that swirl rotating southward

We are watching a disaster scenario. This spells catastrophe for the entire gulf coast.

[GCANE]

Whoa.
Check the massive 6000 CAPE that just popped up to the SE of the CoC.
That's all going to quickly work into Barry

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I counted multiple vortices. Some bigger than others. This storm is acting more like a gyre than a cyclone. If that lobe rolls underneath the convection, it could get interesting. I feel like its so lopsided at the moment though. Needs a really solid burst from a central location to hold for it to get its act together. The convection in some ways is hurting its chances for development. Nothing wrong with that though!

[wxman57]

I think we need to watch the area in the red circle, below. That convection to the south and southeast may start wrapping around that point.

[tailgater]

Saw a reading of 104.5 mb from the recon near that swirl rotating southward

We are watching a disaster scenario. This spells catastrophe for the entire gulf coast.

Just pointing out the swirl has a lower pressure than the center designated by the NHC. Smart***

[GCANE]

This may be it.
A couple cells firing just south of the CoC

[Frank P]

well at least the bottom half of Barry is looking pretty good this afternoon.... seems to be hanging in there... was always feared it would be a big rain even and that, regardless of intensity, concern is still holding firm... tonight should be interesting for sure... might have to pull and all nighter if it were to crank up... I think the NHC has been pretty good overall thus far in their assessments... UKMET doing its own thing, it will either bomb big time or hit the grand slam that wins game 7 in the world series.. I never count anything out when it comes to tracking these storms... wouldn't mind seeing a couple of good feeder bands on the beach in Biloxi as I sit out on the front porch catching the wind gusts and sipping a little Crown this weekend.

[GCANE]

Saw a reading of 104.5 mb from the recon near that swirl rotating southward

We are watching a disaster scenario. This spells catastrophe for the entire gulf coast.

Just pointing out the swirl has a lower pressure than the center designated by the NHC. Smart***

They are now measuring multiple 1003.6 mb readings.