92S INVEST 200203 1200 16.3S 128.1E SHEM 15 1010
SIO: DAMIEN - Post-Tropical
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Nancy Smar
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SIO: DAMIEN - Post-Tropical
Last edited by Nancy Smar on Sun Feb 09, 2020 8:05 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92S
The current BoM forecast indicates the possibility of a Cat 3 landfall somewhere along the Pilbara coast:
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92S
Looks like it’s already a TD. The GFS and HWRF show quick development and intensification, with a 969 mbar and 958 mbar storm, respectively, at landfall between late Friday and early Saturday.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
Did the JTWC forget the 18z update for Damien?
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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1900hurricane
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
Looks like they went 55 kt.
SH, 14, 2020020618, , BEST, 0, 177S, 1174E, 55, 990, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 85, 80, 60, 1004, 175, 25, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, DAMIEN, M,
SH, 14, 2020020618, , BEST, 0, 177S, 1174E, 55, 990, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 0, 20, 0, 1004, 175, 25, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, DAMIEN, M,
SH, 14, 2020020618, , BEST, 0, 177S, 1174E, 55, 990, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 0, 20, 0, 1004, 175, 25, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, DAMIEN, M,
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
Damien might be trying to go pinhole in the 18-24 (or less) hours it has before landfall: https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... rnerds.png
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
Eye is clearing with temps of >10 C. This could be a Cat 3 by the next advisory, and a Cat 4 before landfall isn’t out of the realm of possibility yet.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
The town of Karratha (pop. 16.7k) is about to enter the eye of Cyclone Damien. The airport station is currently reporting 10-minute sustained winds of 81 kt, a maximum gust of 100 kt and a pressure of 966.6 hPa.
Also note that eyewall mesovortices are clearly visible on the Dampier radar:
Also note that eyewall mesovortices are clearly visible on the Dampier radar:
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1900hurricane
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
Looks like the pressure dropped to 957 mb in the eye there with about 12 kt of surface winds. BOM's 955 mb landfall estimate looks very reasonable (and probably based off that data).
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: DAMIEN - Tropical Cyclone
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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