Ouch!
https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1319774659752185856
ATL: ZETA - Models
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
One of these days, the Euro is going to miss a Category 5 within 72-96 hours.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
aspen wrote:
One of these days, the Euro is going to miss a Category 5 within 72-96 hours.
How the mighty have fallen. In all fairness, all of the models have struggled this year. However, it's just really weird to see the Euro have this much difficulty.
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Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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Spacecoast
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
aspen wrote:
One of these days, the Euro is going to miss a Category 5 within 72-96 hours.
Hopefully it’s not now
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TheStormExpert
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:It didn't drop it...It's just weaker.
EDIT: At 30 hours it starts to become more organized and is headed North.
You spoke too soon
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:
So much for “King Euro”.
Which model is doing the best this season?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Spacecoast
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
HMON has a strong TS or weak hurricane make landfall in Cuba late Sunday.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Iceresistance wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:
So much for “King Euro”.
Which model is doing the best this season?
None of them... Lol
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
The GFS-P with a sharp turn missing Florida through 120 hours, while weakening:
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Euro has struggled with genesis, so there’s no reason to be surprised here.
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cp79
Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
So the trend is West? Seems to be pushing closer to central gulf with a NE turn late towards panhandle or Mobile.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Weather Dude wrote:Iceresistance wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:So much for “King Euro”.
Which model is doing the best this season?
None of them... Lol
Like, which one is the best so far? I'm talking about the one who was the closest to the acutal one?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Is there radar active at Southern Cuba? It would be very useful to ID the center of 95L.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Iceresistance wrote:Is there radar active at Southern Cuba? It would be very useful to ID the center of 95L.
It's been posted on the discussion thread...not the best link here:
http://www.weather.gov.ky/radar_images/ ... km_ppi.gif
Until recon data is fed into the models, I dont think they will be much help. Nowcasting until Sunday will be the best forecast in my amatuer opinion.
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plasticup
Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
Do any of the models show a significant system? I’ve only seen duds.
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models
plasticup wrote:Do any of the models show a significant system? I’ve only seen duds.
Nope. 00z intensity guidance is even weaker barely a TS. Not surprising given the satellite trends this evening.
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