ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

I am kind of surprised they think not much strengthening before reaching Yucatan with the center trying to getting its act together again. Unless they mean beyond there generous windage

[PTrackerLA]

[edu2703]

I am kind of surprised they think not much strengthening before reaching Yucatan with the center trying to getting its act together again. Unless they mean beyond there generous windage

.

[wx98]

Anyone else notice that the pressure rose from 963 to 973 based on the third center drop?

[ElectricStorm]

Anyone else notice that the pressure rose from 963 to 973 based on the third center drop?

Yeah I notice that on the recon graphic but the latest dropsonde says 974 with 73kts of wind. It's probably somewhere between the two

[CrazyC83]

Anyone else notice that the pressure rose from 963 to 973 based on the third center drop?

Yeah I notice that on the recon graphic but the latest dropsonde says 974 with 73kts of wind. It's probably somewhere between the two

The actual pressure is probably about 968.

[Jonny]

These images are all from 7:00pm Central updates, from two stations both located in New Orleans. Can you imagine how confusing images like this are to the general public?

I actually mentioned something like this to my mom earlier today. lol I was watching videos on YouTube earlier and one showed Delta's track near the east side of Louisiana while another had it in the middle. For the most part, it is because of the graphics being used, but yeah, I get what you mean by confusing. In your case, maybe one of the TV networks just got their info from another source / needed to update.

[MississippiWx]

The next center pass should be interesting. Satellite would lead you to believe the core is attempting to organize again. CDO much more circular than just an hour ago.

[wx98]

The next center pass should be interesting. Satellite would lead you to believe the core is attempting to organize again. CDO much more circular than just an hour ago.

The SW quad was UGLY on that pass; barely Cat 1. But the NE eyewall should be stronger.

[MississippiWx]

I see a 964mb extrap reading on that pass. Pressure stabilizing/slightly falling again? Winds are down but they can respond quickly.

[Keldeo1997]

Restrengthening might be underway. Last Eye drop was 973MB. This pass has 966MB

[EquusStorm]

Maybe making one last run for it before the Yucatan. For the sake of Cancun and Cozumel perhaps the bark will be worse than the bite, but with waters that warm and frictional convergence who knows.

[zal0phus]

Anyone else have a feeling this morning's predicted intensification might happen once this reaches the lower Gulf?

[wx98]

Anyone else have a feeling this morning's predicted intensification might happen once this reaches the lower Gulf?

I personally don't. But I am prepared to eat crow if so.

[wx98]

NE eyewall:
FL winds ~97 kt
SFMR ~ 68 kt

[MississippiWx]

Strongest wind readings since recon returned. FL back around 100kts.

[ElectricStorm]

Anyone else have a feeling this morning's predicted intensification might happen once this reaches the lower Gulf?

It won't have the pinhole so it won't be near as fast. But I do think it will restrengthen to a strong cat 4 in the gulf. What concerns me is that the NHC has it peaking at 130mph in the gulf before landfalling as a Cat 3. The stronger it gets, the less the cold water will be able to bring it down. Gulf coast needs to be preparing for a major

[ConvergenceZone]

The Hype from this storm seems to have died down pretty quickly...

[sikkar]

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... m=M&tz=STN

975 mb and it's a bit away from center.

[ElectricStorm]

The Hype from this storm seems to have died down pretty quickly...

The cat 5 hype yes. But it's still forecast to be a major landfall in the Yucatan and the US gulf coast. I'm not trying to overhype anything but it needs to be taken seriously no matter what category it is