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ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Last edited by cjrciadt on Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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SconnieCane
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kingarabian wrote:Don't forget that in about 10 days Eta or Theta will be peaking once more.
Well maybe...
...but there's certainly more on the table than a guaranteed "into CA and die or cross into the EPAC" like some were insisting on a couple days ago.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:Eta has really brought up memories on watching the first recon mission into Patricia's peak. We all knew it was going to be wild but not THAT intense.
Let's see if Eta lives up to the hype.
15 years after Wilma, 5 years after Patricia, in about an hour and a half will Eta be the strongest hurricane in the NHC's AOR? Stay tuned...
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
CrazyC83 wrote:It feels like we're actually all on the flight waiting to get there...all we can do is sit down and read a book for now.
But once it gets close, it will be time to strap EVERYTHING down tight since it will be a very rough ride.
I’m just going to keep refreshing the meso sector imagery every 30 seconds until I go insane. Much better use of time.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Depending on whether Eta has continued its 4.2 mb/hr deepening or has “stair-stepped” like Delta, it’ll probably be anywhere from 930 mbar at the max to 900 mbar at the minimum once recon arrives at ~02z.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:ClarCari wrote:HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:It's going to take an hour and 30 minutes for them to get down there. You might as well watch a movie while you're waiting
Or finish that 1500 word essay due tonight.
Not me of course!
That reminds me, I should probably work on my chemistry lab report while I wait.
And me working on homework, but this is off-topic.
Let's wait & see on Recon
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
The only complaints I have in regards to Eta, is that the ESE quadrant looks off compared to the previous beasts that it is being compared too and their picture perfect presentations.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye temp. is around -15C!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
cjrciadt wrote:https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=c7xvi6GL9Fk
Everyone right now
May the force be with you...(I know, wrong movie)
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Cunxi Huang
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
2020NOV02 232017 6.0 946.1 115.0 6.0 6.3 7.4 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -26.51 -78.22 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.37 82.40 ARCHER GOES16 18.8
Raw T# is now 7.4, while CI and FT are lagging behind at 6.0.
Last edited by Cunxi Huang on Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I really don't know, do you think that Recon will go into Eta before landfall?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.
Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cunxi Huang wrote:2020NOV02 232017 6.0 946.1 115.0 6.0 6.3 7.4 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -26.51 -78.22 EYE 7 IR 20.0 14.37 82.40 ARCHER GOES16 18.8
Raw T# is now 7.4.
Dear goodness!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:
I really don't know, do you think that Recon will go into Eta before landfall?
Yeah it'll get there well before landfall
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
RL3AO wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:I don't normally follow the progress while far from the storm, but it makes sense here. Also trying to post how many miles (rounded to the nearest 5 miles) it is.
Well you don't get a super typhoon in the Atlantic very often. It's hard not to watch.
Super Typhoon?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I tracked Patricia but not the recon. So this is pretty much the most anticipated mission for me...
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looking at CIMSS data it suggests MPI of just below 900 mb
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