ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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aspen
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2001 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:22 pm

That’s a lot less intense than I thought. Still a ridiculous pressure gradient, and the strongest winds will likely be on the NE side.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2002 Postby Buck » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Wishcast of the century! ;)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2003 Postby Ed_2001 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Well this isn't bad news but don't forget Eta is still over water. Though that does prove Dvorak isn't everything.
Last edited by Ed_2001 on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2004 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Hahahah wow what even...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2005 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Wow, still amazing but about 30mb off from the crazy monster I was expecting the plane to be intercepting.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2006 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Highest FL winds: 137kts (found on the Southern quadrant which hasn't been as sampled yet)
Highest SFMR winds: 130kts (Again on the Southern quadrant)
Last edited by Owasso on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2007 Postby zal0phus » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:23 pm

Bruh
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2008 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

Not a single unflagged data set supports cat 5 lol. It obviously is, but still comical.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2009 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

Winds are probably under 200 mph. Can go to bed now :wink:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2010 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Had a feeling it wasn't sub <900 mb yet, but it's getting there.

Obviously a Cat 5 though.

I don't even think it's a Cat.5. SFMR was nowhere close. Maybe in a different quad they can find higher winds.


I think it's a 5 based on the pressure.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2011 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

Well the CI and ADJ values from ADT are going to save it from total embarrassment.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2012 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

And I oop-
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2013 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

Owasso wrote:Highest FL winds: 137kts (found on the Southern quadrant) which hasn't been as sampled yet)
Highest SFMR winds: 130kts (Again on the Southern quadrant)

That doesn't even support a Cat 5...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion= First pass missed the eye

#2014 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:24 pm

If she's not a Cat 5 then this is the best imitation of one I have ever seen. :)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2015 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:25 pm

Again proves that to have a top-tier storm, an explicitly good eye temp is more important than any ridiculously cold cloud tops :lol:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion= First pass missed the eye

#2016 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:25 pm

If we assume a pressure around 924 mb (for missing the true center), that would suggest winds of about 140 kt.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion= First pass missed the eye

#2017 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:26 pm

Bruh this doesn't even make sense lol.

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2018 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:26 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Owasso wrote:Highest FL winds: 137kts (found on the Southern quadrant) which hasn't been as sampled yet)
Highest SFMR winds: 130kts (Again on the Southern quadrant)

That doesn't even support a Cat 5...

Probably not even in the strong quad yet so let's not make a judgment yet.

Considering how tight the pressure gradient is, one mile missed could be a 5-10 mb difference. Still the tense level here really plummeted.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2019 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:26 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Again proves that to have a top-tier storm, an explicitly good eye temp is more important than any ridiculously cold cloud tops :lol:

EXACTLY. Was just going to post this. Eye temp is everything. That orange eye didn't materialize fortunately.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion= First pass missed the eye

#2020 Postby p1nheadlarry » Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:26 pm

I like how everyone is disappointed that a storm a day from hitting one of the most impoverished places in the Western hemisphere may not yet be a Cat 5 or is just barely one.

Including me.
Last edited by p1nheadlarry on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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