cycloneye wrote:97L INVEST 200818 1200 13.2N 65.4W ATL 30 1009
97L INVEST 200819 1200 13.8N 71.8W ATL 30 1008
Maybe gaining a little Latitude but it’s hard to say with no true center.
ATL: MARCO - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
97L INVEST 200819 1200 13.8N 71.8W ATL 30 1008
Maybe gaining a little Latitude but it’s hard to say with no true center.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Well if you back out definitely some kind of broad low developing maybe 36/48hrs something more to look at but really No Shear.
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Visioen wrote:Virtually no shear over this right now. Are we in the Caribbean?
We're in late august.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
People are really sleeping on this system right now, incredibly high THC content lies ahead of it, shear in the vicinity of the system is very low, and to my amateur eye it sure looks to be getting its act together
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
SOutherly infow just drastically increased near that previous convective burst. something might be about to pop..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
tiger_deF wrote:People are really sleeping on this system right now, incredibly high THC content lies ahead of it, shear in the vicinity of the system is very low, and to my amateur eye it sure looks to be getting its act together
98L has all their attention. Probably because it has more of a chance to go towards the EC or Florida than 97L does.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
A center looks to forming closer to 14.5N 72.5w which is a lot farther north than I thought it would be, Fla. peninsula could still be in play.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:Visioen wrote:Virtually no shear over this right now. Are we in the Caribbean?
We're in late august.
TCs often struggle there in late august as well (not west-carib).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Is it possible we could see PTC-13 either at 5pm or 11pm today?
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
tiger_deF wrote:People are really sleeping on this system right now, incredibly high THC content lies ahead of it, shear in the vicinity of the system is very low, and to my amateur eye it sure looks to be getting its act together
Hopefully this doesn't go Harvey
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
aspen wrote:Is it possible we could see PTC-13 either at 5pm or 11pm today?
That might be possible too. since it would be within the time frame and it is more organized at this point than the models have been showing.
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EquusStorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
If 98L had been closer to the Lesser Antilles could potentially have had two PTCs at once, which I don't think has happened before
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
EquusStorm wrote:If 98L had been closer to the Lesser Antilles could potentially have had two PTCs at once, which I don't think has happened before
I wouldn’t doubt that happening in the next few weeks, when the Atlantic becomes most favorable and the wave train continues.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
EquusStorm wrote:If 98L had been closer to the Lesser Antilles could potentially have had two PTCs at once, which I don't think has happened before
I'm not sure why the excitement around the "PTC" designation. All they are is a wave that's not a tropical cyclone yet, but is close enough to land and has a good enough chance to become a TC before affecting that land that NHC wants to initiate advisories before it technically becomes a tropical depression, so watches/warnings can be issued.
There are no particular requirements for strength or organization for PTC advisories to be initiated, other than NHC thinks it has a good enough chance to become a tropical cyclone and bring tropical storm/hurricane conditions to land within 36 hours.
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Portastorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Friendly reminder
Let us not forget the rules about decorum. No personal attacks. You don't have to agree with everything you see on here, but you do have to be respectful. So let's work on that so us mods/admins don't have to start giving out "vacations."
Let us not forget the rules about decorum. No personal attacks. You don't have to agree with everything you see on here, but you do have to be respectful. So let's work on that so us mods/admins don't have to start giving out "vacations."
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EquusStorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
Would just be a neat statistical thing for two to be active at once since that designation is usually pretty brief, abitrary/location-based as it may be.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
I have deleted some posts not in keeping with the spirit and decorum we ask for here at Storm 2k. Please cut the sniping back and forth and keep the discussions on weather.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
97L looks like a sharp wave axis to me. Better chance of closing off in a day or two......MGC
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
more large towers building and increast easterly low level clouds on the SW side.
if this contiunes it wont take long to develop.
if this contiunes it wont take long to develop.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
We may get Laura and Marco within a day of each other, which one will develop first? I'm still thinking 98L will become Laura.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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