Feeder band extending deeper into Fl now.
Vis sat showing everything turning now.
ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
0 likes
-
TheAustinMan
- Category 5
- Posts: 1047
- Age: 25
- Joined: Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:26 pm
- Location: United States
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
According to recon and surface obs, the circulation is pretty closed now.
638 KB. Source: GR2Analyst; recon placefile generated myself
638 KB. Source: GR2Analyst; recon placefile generated myself
0 likes
Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service.
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Center has reformed NE. Recon missed the center to the West. Clean windfield now. Nice pure N winds. Yes we are definitely getting classified before recon leaves.
0 likes
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
exactly where I figured it has consolidated to.. slightly N of the broad center from earlier.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22977
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Go ahead and call it, NHC! I have my intermediate advisory ready and am waiting to see if it's STD or TD One. Then it's time for lunch, been working since 4:30am.
4 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
There it is.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
there we go..
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sat May 16, 2020 10:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:Go ahead and call it, NHC! I have my intermediate advisory ready and am waiting to see if it's STD or TD One. Then it's time for lunch, been working since 4:30am.
I agree. This is clearly a closed system. Temp profile is maybe .5 to 1.0C warm core. It's academic at this point...
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Still somewhat elongated, but getting more defined, pressure not dropping yet from earlier.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
NDG wrote:Still somewhat elongated, but getting more defined, pressure not dropping yet
40+kt pure 180 degree wind shift over 0.2° latitude. That is a clean closed LLC.
151430 2733N 07858W 9912 00159 0093 +226 +214 212019 020
151830 2741N 07911W 9753 00299 0095 +211 +211 034017 022
212 -134 =178°
22 + 20kts = 42kts
Textbook for a TD
3 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
NHC will likely wait till 5 for the upgrade to TD. unless they release a special statement with the full package then coming out at 5.
1 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:NHC will likely wait till 5 for the upgrade to TD. unless they release a special statement with the full package then coming out at 5.
Im guessing they will do it by 2pm to issue watches and warnings ASAP.
1 likes
-
northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Yes, I concur with the rest of you. We have a closed off circulation. I think it s TD1. We will see.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sat May 16, 2020 11:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 34kts (39.1mph)
2 likes
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Might get another center reformation just to the NE if that deep convection and Mid level vorticity persists.
that MLC however is rotating to the nw so they might just align themselves.
then off it goes..
that MLC however is rotating to the nw so they might just align themselves.
then off it goes..
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
Yellow Evan
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 16143
- Age: 27
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
- Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Yeah NHC needs to classify. Probably should be issuing advisories as a PTC at this point even if Recon didn't close off a center anyhow.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 34kts (39.1mph)
This means we have tropical storm Arthur! Not sure if the NHC will go straight to storm status though.
It is clearly becoming better organized. Tonite will be interesting. Glad I told my boss I cant work tonight, much rather wobble watch a developing storm.
6 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest