ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[aspen]

According to the 00z best track, Iota has actually moved east by 0.2 degrees longitude. This stall is likely to seriously impact the timing and intensity of the track. Levi said a stronger storm is more likely to get a little further north, so if Iota ends up delaying the time it reaches CA’s longitude by 12-24 hours, it would be able to get stronger and perhaps get tugged north enough to miss it.

[Iceresistance]

According to the 00z best track, Iota has actually moved east by 0.2 degrees longitude. This stall is likely to seriously impact the timing and intensity of the track. Levi said a stronger storm is more likely to get a little further north, so if Iota ends up delaying the time it reaches CA’s longitude by 12-24 hours, it would be able to get stronger and perhaps get tugged north enough to miss it.

But that would be scary for Belize, and I would feel really bad for them.

[underthwx]

According to the 00z best track, Iota has actually moved east by 0.2 degrees longitude. This stall is likely to seriously impact the timing and intensity of the track. Levi said a stronger storm is more likely to get a little further north, so if Iota ends up delaying the time it reaches CA’s longitude by 12-24 hours, it would be able to get stronger and perhaps get tugged north enough to miss it.

But that would be scary for Belize, and I would feel really bad for them.

For sure....i got a feeling this is going to be another difficult cyclone to forecast

[Iceresistance]

According to the 00z best track, Iota has actually moved east by 0.2 degrees longitude. This stall is likely to seriously impact the timing and intensity of the track. Levi said a stronger storm is more likely to get a little further north, so if Iota ends up delaying the time it reaches CA’s longitude by 12-24 hours, it would be able to get stronger and perhaps get tugged north enough to miss it.

But that would be scary for Belize, and I would feel really bad for them.

For sure....i got a feeling this is going to be another difficult cyclone to forecast

Latest frames is showing a westward movement from Iota, the forecasting is about as diffcult as Eta.

[EquusStorm]

Sure is right on the cusp of either going just inland or staying just offshore. Little trends will make a big difference in the long run

[storminabox]

Eta and Iota from this November could ruin expectations for future Novembers just like Dennis and Emily did for July.

Right! Like November usually sees nothing! The Caribbean is making up for the last decade in a huge and unforgettable way!

[Hurricane Mike]

This is gonna be another monster for Central America.

[Keldeo1997]

Big South to South East jog. What might be happening is a LLC reformation might be underway. The Storm has been tilted since it formed today.

[wxman57]

It's difficult to determine movement if you cannot find a center to track.

[Iceresistance]

Satellite imagery suggesting that Iota is starting to become broad with the LLC again.

This is going to be diffcult to track. . .

[aspen]

Hopefully by the time recon arrives tomorrow (like 1-2pm EST), Iota will have a better defined LLC that can be pinned down. I’m thinking it could be around 45-55 kt by then.

[Cyclenall]

There has never been a single November with two major hurricanes before. Nor have there ever been four major hurricanes in October-November before.

Let's assume that both hurricanes Eta and Iota are category 5's, which is more insane? July 2005 or November 2020?

[TheWisestofAll]

That's quite the vigorous mid level rotation. Once a core establishes it'll likely get going in a hurry.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/716215692617187328/777032733758586881/goes16_truecolor_31L_202011132345.gif

[crimi481]

Looking mean now. Angry. Bulking up

[Owasso]

[Owasso]

Miss.

[Owasso]

Starting to ramp up again

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like some shear is effecting it right now. The anticyclone is displaced SW of the center so it's gonna need to get that figured out if it really wants to get going. It most likely will but any potential setback from going completely bonkers is fine with me...

[Owasso]

[Owasso]

Looks like some shear is effecting it right now. The anticyclone is displaces SW of the center so it's gonna need to get that figured out if it really wants to get going. It most likely will but any potential setback from going completely bonkers is fine with me..

Yeah, seems to be dealing with some light westerly shear.