#3472 Postby underthwx » Sun Nov 08, 2020 12:43 pm
This discussion is from INSMET-Cuban Weather Office....thought I would share it.... Tropical Cyclone Warning.
Forecast Center, INSMET.
Date: November 8, 2020. Time: 12:05 pm.
TROPICAL CYCLONE NOTICE No. 26.
TROPICAL STORM ETA.
... Eta moves through the seas north of the central region ...
Tropical storm Eta hit the sea at around 9:30 am today near Punta Alegre, Ciego de Avila, a coastal town very close to border with the province of Sancti Spíritus.
Eta during the morning has tilted its course to the north, slightly increasing its speed of translation which is now 22 kilometers per hour.
At noon its central region was estimated at 22.9 degrees north latitude and 79.3 degrees west longitude, a position that places it about 100 kilometers northwest of Cayo Coco, Ciego de Avila and about 50 kilometers northeast of Caibarién Villa Clara.
Eta has had fluctuations in its intensity, has maximum sustained winds of 100 kilometers per hour, with higher gusts, and its central pressure remains at 993 hectoPascal.
In the next few hours Eta will maintain a close course between north and north-northwest, tilting its trajectory towards the west from at night when it moves over the Straits of Florida. With this movement over the sea, it can gain more organization and intensity and at the end of the next morning turn into a hurricane, in the vicinity of the Florida Keys.
In the last 24 hours until 8 in the morning, more than 70 points of the network of the Institute of Meteorology and the National Institute of Hydraulic Resources reported rainfall above 100 millimeters, of which 9 were above 200 millimeters.
The highest accumulated were: El Jíbaro Meteorological Station, Sancti Spiritus. 328.0 millimeters South Derivadora del Jibaro, Sancti Spiritus. 304.9 millimeters Pto. Fire Prevention Orlando González, Ciego de Ávila. 290.0 mm Moroccan tele-mail, Ciego de Ávila. 226.3 millimeters Tele-mail Imías, Guantánamo. 226.0 millimeters Tele-mail Guayacanes, Ciego de Ávila. 218.1 mm Embalse La Felicidad, Sancti Spiritus. 205.8 millimeters Las Margaritas reservoir, Ciego de Ávila. 205.5 millimeters Embalse Dignorah, Sancti Spiritus. 203.4 millimeters The heaviest rainfall areas associated with the circulation of Eta are to the north of the central region of the country, however bands of this system can still influence the center and east of the country that have received abundant rainfall in the last hours, saturating the soils. Areas of heavy rains already affect areas of the north western coast, and can spread in the afternoon to inland areas, and can be strong and intense.
During the afternoon of today the winds will decrease, between 35 and 50 kilometers per hour in the northern portion of the central region of Cuba, with higher gusts. These winds will continue to produce strong swells on the south coast, with a rise in sea level between 1 and 1.5 meters and moderate coastal flooding from Júcaro in Ciego de Ávila to Manzanillo in Granma. Due to the combination of the effects of the wind, heavy rains and the sea in the area of the mouth of the Zaza rivers in Sancti Spíritus and Cauto in Granma, floods in these areas are forecast to be strong. On the north coast of the west and center, including the Havana seawall, strong swells will occur with wave heights of between 3 and 4 meters, generating light coastal flooding from this afternoon,
The next tropical cyclone warning for this organism will be issued at three in the afternoon today....
2 likes
, Isabel '03, Irene '11, Matthew '16, Isaias '20, PTC16????
we will wait for the circulation to get closer to see if things pick up. Rain also has been not constant so this will help with the flooding.
