ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Because fo the dry air is starting to get that subtropical look, but at the same time shear is dropping over it and it should refire convections near its center.

[underthwx]

When it's all said and done, ETA will have quite the track history

[umguy1]

Very unimpressive across the mainland thus far atleast in Broward just a few gusts maybe 25-30 with these weak bands.

What else would you be expecting from the outer bands of a sheared TS that's still 8-10 hours away from it's closest approach?

In Sunrise, the rain is starting to pile up, and we've got palm leaves and down garbage bins (thankfully empty, just never brought up from yesterday) up and down our street. And a couple houses down, either they brought down their basketball hoop yesterday, or it got knocked down by a gust, and just looking at the angle of collapse I don't think it was intentionally placed that way. So the idea that were going to have another 12-18 hours of this weather, with the apex late this evening, isn't that fun. Sure, this isn't a severe tropical threat by any means, but what we've had so far, since last night, is not unremarkable for a TS that's still just off the coast of Cuba.

My friend your just down the block! I live in Sunrise my weatherstation peak gusts today has been 26 mph. we will wait for the circulation to get closer to see if things pick up. Rain also has been not constant so this will help with the flooding.

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droma ... ?stn=F7105

It's almost like you live across the state from me. Our weather in Wilton Manors has been the opposite. It's been
quite windy and it's been raining almost non stop all day.

[jlauderdal]

What else would you be expecting from the outer bands of a sheared TS that's still 8-10 hours away from it's closest approach?

In Sunrise, the rain is starting to pile up, and we've got palm leaves and down garbage bins (thankfully empty, just never brought up from yesterday) up and down our street. And a couple houses down, either they brought down their basketball hoop yesterday, or it got knocked down by a gust, and just looking at the angle of collapse I don't think it was intentionally placed that way. So the idea that were going to have another 12-18 hours of this weather, with the apex late this evening, isn't that fun. Sure, this isn't a severe tropical threat by any means, but what we've had so far, since last night, is not unremarkable for a TS that's still just off the coast of Cuba.

My friend your just down the block! I live in Sunrise my weatherstation peak gusts today has been 26 mph. we will wait for the circulation to get closer to see if things pick up. Rain also has been not constant so this will help with the flooding.

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droma ... ?stn=F7105

It's almost like you live across the state from me. Our weather in Wilton Manors has been the opposite. It's been
quite windy and it's been raining almost non stop all day.

Our roads flooded side to side

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Getting absolutely wrecked by dry air and shear right now.

[Nimbus]

Recon found a pretty healthy surface pressure profile after Eta emerged off Cuba, waiting for the next convection burst. If it weren't for the low surface pressures found this morning I would be thinking the dry air shear would kill it about now.

[chaser1]

Yep, Eta's not looking particularly healthy right now. It's inner core has really broadened too. It'll take some work to reach hurricane intensity. All 8 cylinders are choking and a major tune-up is in order

[NDG]

17z HRRR is persistent that deep convection will refire over the next few hours near its CoC as it nears the Keys.

[otowntiger]

Very unimpressive across the mainland thus far atleast in Broward just a few gusts maybe 25-30 with these weak bands.

I don’t believe we were expecting anything too impressive in inland areas, were we? Other than some decent rain.

[chaser1]

Recon found a pretty healthy surface pressure profile after Eta emerged off Cuba, waiting for the next convection burst. If it weren't for the low surface pressures found this morning I would be thinking the dry air shear would kill it about now.

Based on recent satellite trends alone, it sure seems like the gradient would be decreasing/expanding

[toad strangler]

Very unimpressive across the mainland thus far atleast in Broward just a few gusts maybe 25-30 with these weak bands.

I don’t believe we were expecting anything too impressive in inland areas, were we? Other than some decent rain.

I wasn't but I'm up on the Treasure Coast. THis for me is all about the possibility of decent rains for 24-36 more hours and when you look at that 5 day track you have to wonder if Eta is going to be that pesky mosquito that got under the netting.

[Evil Jeremy]

Very unimpressive across the mainland thus far atleast in Broward just a few gusts maybe 25-30 with these weak bands.

I don’t believe we were expecting anything too impressive in inland areas, were we? Other than some decent rain.

John Morales a couple hours ago was still predicting 50-70mph gusts across Metro SFL (not strictly Miami, also not your area in Orlando), isolated tornados, and up to another 10 inches of rain. The biggest wind threat I imagine won't be until tonight, and overnight.

[NDG]

Convection beginning to re-fire in the NE quadrant. It still has a strong surface core.

[underthwx]

Convection beginning to re-fire in the NE quadrant. It still has a strong surface core.

https://i.imgur.com/4oRB5F2.gif

That's a great image of ETA

[toad strangler]

Schools closed tomorrow in Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. A bit too precautionary? We'll see but I guess it's best not to have buses running if we get some hairy bands through the area.

[SFLcane]

Schools closed tomorrow in Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. A bit too precautionary? We'll see but I guess it's best not to have busses running if we get some hairy bands through the area.

This thing looks purely or almost like a Sub tropical storm with no core left. Again not much punch behind these rain bands for me atleast in Sunrise just rainy breezy weather.

[Cat5James]

Lets not count ETA out just yet... Getting some strong gusts in Broward now and I'm 10 miles inland

[Iceresistance]

Hurricane warnings for southern Florida for Eta

[eastcoastFL]

What else would you be expecting from the outer bands of a sheared TS that's still 8-10 hours away from it's closest approach?

In Sunrise, the rain is starting to pile up, and we've got palm leaves and down garbage bins (thankfully empty, just never brought up from yesterday) up and down our street. And a couple houses down, either they brought down their basketball hoop yesterday, or it got knocked down by a gust, and just looking at the angle of collapse I don't think it was intentionally placed that way. So the idea that were going to have another 12-18 hours of this weather, with the apex late this evening, isn't that fun. Sure, this isn't a severe tropical threat by any means, but what we've had so far, since last night, is not unremarkable for a TS that's still just off the coast of Cuba.

My friend your just down the block! I live in Sunrise my weatherstation peak gusts today has been 26 mph. we will wait for the circulation to get closer to see if things pick up. Rain also has been not constant so this will help with the flooding.

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droma ... ?stn=F7105

It's almost like you live across the state from me. Our weather in Wilton Manors has been the opposite. It's been
quite windy and it's been raining almost non stop all day.

It’s been on and off heavy gusts and sideways down pours here in Martin county

[chaser1]

Convection beginning to re-fire in the NE quadrant. It still has a strong surface core.

https://i.imgur.com/4oRB5F2.gif

That caught my eye initially but then realized this convection is primarily land induced over Andros. It's certainly conceivable that the continued NW track will buy it time while increasingly moving into higher moisture content air to it's north, while trying to shake out the dryer air entrained from it's south and east. At least for now though it's core is looking increasingly shallow. Nonetheless, squally weather will increase in intensity throughout the Keys soon, as well as Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach later into the evening and late night hours.