ATL: FAY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Ubuntwo]

https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status ... 3123384320

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located just east of North Carolina, at 5 pm EDT.

[Hammy]

I'm getting the feeling this isn't getting upgraded before moving onshore tomorrow and really should've been designated a TD before moving onshore in Florida the first place.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1281321523123384320

[storm4u]

We have Fay!

[storm4u]

I'm getting the feeling this isn't getting upgraded before moving onshore tomorrow and really should've been designated a TD before moving onshore in Florida the first place.

Minute to soon lol

[aspen]

https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1281321523123384320

And there goes Franklin 05’s record as the earliest 6th named storm

[drezee]

https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1281321523123384320

And there goes Franklin 05’s record as the earliest 6th named storm

Another one bites the dust...

[EquusStorm]

Records keep fallin'. A spree of six higher latitude brief mostly baroclinically initiated or enhanced storms (sans Cristobal ofc) certainly doesn't compare to 2005's six deep-tropical cyclones including two long track category 4+ but I have a feeling we get THOSE in a month or two...

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Yeah, definitely organized a fair bit this morning and consolidated. Deserves the name.

6-0-0

Absolutely unbelievable to be on the sixth named storm of the year by July 9th. And while these storms have all been weak, it's amazing how every single invest seems to be developing this year. Once conditions start becoming more favorable in the MDR, things might start getting serious.

[EquusStorm]

For comparison the last iteration of Fay developed on October 10th.

Which, to be fair, was in a very slow season, but still.

[GCANE]

Center Fix Coordinates: 35.43N 74.87W
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1006mb (29.71 inHg) - Extrapolated

Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 39kts (44.9mph)
Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 33 nautical miles (38 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix at 19:26:30Z

Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 318m (1,043ft)
Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 315m (1,033ft)

[GCANE]

Well organized MCS to the west heading toward Fay.
May interact with it tomorrow.
Tower just to the NE of the CoC beginning to fire lightning.

[CrazyC83]

What a difference between two Fays - one in October, one in July. Half a season apart.

This season definitely has a 2011 vibe right now (albeit with more earlier storms).

[tolakram]

SLIDER visible

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=7012.88037109375&y=3951.908935546875

[GCANE]

A closer looks shows the tower is just about on top of the CoC

[CrazyC83]

This should be the first tropical Northeast landfall since Irene, and the first named storm in the region since Sandy...but the impact should be far, far less than either of those storms. Something along the lines of Beryl 2006 or Danielle 1992.

[shiny-pebble]

Gosh, even this storm looks good. Even though we've had weak storms so far, everyone of them have been pretty well organized.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

[Steve]

What a difference between two Fays - one in October, one in July. Half a season apart.

This season definitely has a 2011 vibe right now (albeit with more earlier storms).

There are some similarities, but I don't think the tracks are going to end up all that similar season vs. season. JMO

[Do_For_Love]

Congrats, Fay...Cya soon, lol.

[GCANE]

Right on schedule.
Now sucking in mega-tons of moisture from that fractured-off tropical wave.