ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

It's going to completely miss the cold wake left by Marco

[Frank P]

Looks like Laura is out over the GOM. IF the HRWF is going to verify it should start to deepen soon....MGC

per radar it sure looks like the extreme northern edge of the center is kissing the GOM... but it will a few hours or so for the entire eye to get into the GOM

[bella_may]

Looks north and east of the forecast track

[Highteeld]

It's going to completely miss the cold wake left by Marco

https://i.imgur.com/023HToM.png

https://i.imgur.com/1830ySO.png

OHC jackpot right after getting into the Gulf

[BRweather]

The low level vorticity is focusing to the north end of Cuba. If not then that is a crazy illusion on satellite.

[eastcoastFL]

It's going to completely miss the cold wake left by Marco

https://i.imgur.com/023HToM.png

https://i.imgur.com/1830ySO.png

OHC jackpot right after getting into the Gulf

No Bueno. Its hard to find reasons she won't bomb out in the GOM. I don't think anyone can forecast a TS or weak cat 1 anymore.

[Frank P]

I don't know for sure but on long range radar the center of Laura almost looks closed, or close to it ..

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

[NDG]

It could indeed deepen really quickly as soon as it gets back over water like the Euro & GFS are now showing.

[supercane4867]

Just needs to get the poleward outflow channel going then it'll be all good for takeoff.

[tropicwatch]

It could indeed deepen really quickly as soon as it gets back over water like the Euro & GFS are now showing.

https://i.imgur.com/XeBynU2.gif

Looking pretty healthy for being so close to land for so long and then going over Cuba.

[cheezyWXguy]

Wow I leave for 30 minutes and come back to Laura building an eye from the ground up. Figures...

[Highteeld]

Houston to Lake Charles needs to be prepared for a cat 4 or cat 5 hurricane. this is really, really getting desperate

[St0rmTh0r]

using these two long range radars it appears the NW edge of the center is just about to reach the GOM..

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

You guys are great with the satellite radar sites and links. Keep em coming.

[Frank P]

Just needs to get the poleward outflow channel going then it'll be all good for takeoff.

https://i.imgur.com/ZAbzYyN.gif

Looks like it's on a heading of around 300 degrees from that loop...

[Hammy]

Just needs to get the poleward outflow channel going then it'll be all good for takeoff.

https://i.imgur.com/ZAbzYyN.gif

Something about the shape, once you take land outlines out of the picture really reminds me of a lot of W Pacific systems west of the Philippines--except this has a lot more water before reaching land.

[cfisher]

Center moving just north of due W

[PTrackerLA]

So 18z HWRF comes in on the Texas LA border 929mb. Is that area heavily populated?

400k in the Triangle, 225k in Lake Charles. (Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange, Lake Charles/Sulphur are the main cities).

500k in Lafayette metro but it's fairly sparsely populated between here and Lake Charles

[FixySLN]

A tad north maybe? Running more NW than WNW?

[St0rmTh0r]

Houston to Lake Charles needs to be prepared for a cat 4 or cat 5 hurricane. this is really, really getting desperate

Yeah this is looking like one of those storms. If I lived anywhere along those areas I'd be gone today

[ConvergenceZone]

Has anyone noticed that on the weather channel that they are talking more and more about this storm being potentially much more stronger than currently forecast? It seems like they are mentioning that more tonight compared to early in the day