ATL: CRISTOBAL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#41 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun May 31, 2020 2:12 pm

The good news is we can handle several inches of rain along coastal Louisiana as some areas are in drought or just coming out if it. This potential gulf storm looks like will be moving at a good clip when it reaches the coast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#42 Postby underthwx » Sun May 31, 2020 2:22 pm

I'm thinkin 93l will give most all of us a taste of some rain before it's said and done...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#43 Postby TheProfessor » Sun May 31, 2020 2:42 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:The good news is we can handle several inches of rain along coastal Louisiana as some areas are in drought or just coming out if it. This potential gulf storm looks like will be moving at a good clip when it reaches the coast.


There are some areas north and west of lake Pontchartrain that can't handle a lot of rain due to the 8-16" that fell a few weeks ago. The rain has been scattered since then, but it hasn't been dry for most areas. Just to the east into the Slidell area still needs rain though.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#44 Postby GCANE » Sun May 31, 2020 2:52 pm

Looks like the BOC convection is beginning to rotate
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#45 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun May 31, 2020 3:00 pm

I don't see any data on this invest.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#46 Postby Kingarabian » Sun May 31, 2020 3:02 pm

This is about to be a little confusing since the NHC keeps Amanda as a TD as it enters the BOC, then we have this feature that is also associated with or is Amanda with an orange marker.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#47 Postby BYG Jacob » Sun May 31, 2020 3:10 pm

1900hurricane wrote:I don't see any data on this invest.

It isn't an actual invest yet. We're just calling it so we have a place to talk about Amanda's remnants and the spin up in the BoC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#48 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun May 31, 2020 3:12 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:Given the conditions in the gulf, this has the potential top surprise a lot of people


I’ve heard conditions in the Gulf will be favorable and I’ve heard they won’t be favorable. Idk who to believe at this point.


I don't know about the Wester GoM but on the Florida side, water temps are pushing 88-89 degrees. :eek:

They won’t be unfavorable, but they also won’t be extremely favorable. In other words a sheared/lopsided TS is my best guess typical of early-June is my best guess.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#49 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 31, 2020 3:15 pm

1900hurricane wrote:I don't see any data on this invest.



We did something unprecedented for the first time in S2K and has not be done before and that is have the invests threads before is up on ATCF as there was confusion with people posting in three different threads and to end that is why the 93L threads are up.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#50 Postby underthwx » Sun May 31, 2020 3:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:I don't see any data on this invest.



We did something unprecedented for the first time in S2K and has not be done before and that is have the invests threads before is up on ATCF as there was confusion with people posting in three different threads and to end that is why the 93L threads are up.

Kind of like...Potential Invest 93l?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#51 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun May 31, 2020 3:26 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:I don't see any data on this invest.

It isn't an actual invest yet. We're just calling it so we have a place to talk about Amanda's remnants and the spin up in the BoC

If it's Amanda, why not post on that thread?
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#52 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 31, 2020 3:37 pm

Idk.. the way the convective pattern in the BOC is setting up.. sure appears a circ may be trying to develop...
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#53 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 31, 2020 3:42 pm

From Remnants of Amanda discussion.

The remnants of Amanda are forecast to turn
northwestward later tonight, and could emerge over the southern Bay
of Campeche late Monday or Tuesday where new tropical cyclone
development is possible.
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#54 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 31, 2020 3:49 pm

Also looks like from surface obs that the llc is farther to the NE nearly offshore in the NW carrib.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#55 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun May 31, 2020 3:59 pm

1900hurricane wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:I don't see any data on this invest.

It isn't an actual invest yet. We're just calling it so we have a place to talk about Amanda's remnants and the spin up in the BoC

If it's Amanda, why not post on that thread?


Hopefully, this clears it up here:
https://twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp/stat ... 67240?s=19
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#56 Postby NDG » Sun May 31, 2020 4:15 pm

These monsoonal systems have one heck of a mid level circulation even over land. It shouldn't have a problem redeveloping over water.

Image
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#57 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 31, 2020 4:19 pm

latest satellite surface winds analysis.

something really trying to come together in the BOC..

Image
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#58 Postby Kingarabian » Sun May 31, 2020 4:25 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:latest satellite surface winds analysis.

something really trying to come together in the BOC..

https://i.ibb.co/mTgq3cM/Capture.png

:uarrow: If it can keep just several degrees away from the coast it could deepen quite a bit. The Euro shows it with pretty decent vorticity but keeps a lid on it probably due to land interaction. This is through the next 48 hours and before it gets picked up north.
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#59 Postby Kingarabian » Sun May 31, 2020 4:27 pm

NDG wrote:These monsoonal systems have one heck of a mid level circulation even over land. It shouldn't have a problem redeveloping over water.

https://i.imgur.com/imjGMQD.gif

Pretty beastly but unfortunately CA is going to suffer from catastrophic flooding.
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Re: ATL: PRE - INVEST 93L - Discussion

#60 Postby Nimbus » Sun May 31, 2020 4:58 pm

If we get two systems in the gulf I wonder what they will do with the naming?
Might make the rainfall totals climb across a wider area of coastline.
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