ATL: FAY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Dean4Storms
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
You can see the circulation on Eglin radar, increase in convection and seems to be holding its own but doubt it develops as it is running out of time.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Cool feature looks like it's headed for a tour of residual Michael damage in Bay or Gulf county..
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
interesting, wind readings along the coast have all switched to align with the circ.
seems the size of the wind field is expanding.... the buoy measured 30mph winds as well.
on its present course if it does not move any more it might ride along the coast from appalachicola into the big bend.
that would give it more time.
seems the size of the wind field is expanding.... the buoy measured 30mph winds as well.
on its present course if it does not move any more it might ride along the coast from appalachicola into the big bend.
that would give it more time.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
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MGC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Beautiful naked swirl racing off to the NE to find some clothes. Thank goodness for the shear.....NEXT....MGC
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
buoys winds switched to wsw 30mph gusting to 35.
should still technically be a TD.
should still technically be a TD.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:buoys winds switched to wsw 30mph gusting to 35.
should still technically be a TD.
https://i.ibb.co/tHfMV0z/110101001.gif
Just curious Aric what makes u think it could ride the coast towards big bend? It seems to be headed straight to appalach wouldn't it go inland? Just want to know ur thoughts.
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Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
robbielyn wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:buoys winds switched to wsw 30mph gusting to 35.
should still technically be a TD.
https://i.ibb.co/tHfMV0z/110101001.gif
Just curious Aric what makes u think it could ride the coast towards big bend? It seems to be headed straight to appalach wouldn't it go inland? Just want to know ur thoughts.
well, as I mentioned if it stayed on the path it was on. ( just plot the center after a couple hours then draw a line) it would have come in at Apalachicola and ride the coast into the big bend..
the last hour it has slightly wobbled left of that. still looks to come in around apalachicola though.. but more inland.
white line was the average motion from an hour ago..
yellow line is the current average motion.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sun Jul 05, 2020 8:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:buoys winds switched to wsw 30mph gusting to 35.
should still technically be a TD.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/tHfMV0z/110101001.gif[/rl]
This presentation warrants it.
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
This looks like a tropical system imo.
The NHC is the last call
The NHC is the last call
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Ivanhater wrote:This looks like a tropical system imo.
The NHC is the last call
the convection on radar in the SW quad is very indicative of surface convergence and well a TC..
might be a late night upgrade as it nears the coast and we get some obs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
To everyone saying this is a TC, here's the satellite presentation.
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Ubuntwo wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_98L_202007060152_lat29.0-lon273.9.jpg
To everyone saying this is a TC, here's the satellite presentation.
does not matter what it looks like..
Closed well defined circ, warm core, organized convection..
we have all that..
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hurricanedude
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Ubuntwo wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_98L_202007060152_lat29.0-lon273.9.jpg
To everyone saying this is a TC, here's the satellite presentation.
Poor little guy...he was so close too.
If 98L lives up to what the GFS and Euro are forecasting, there’s a chance it could develop off of the US east coast before making landfall in New England this upcoming weekend.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Dylan
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Every swirl has it's day on Storm2K
That should be the forum motto! I won't look for royalties I promise
That should be the forum motto! I won't look for royalties I promise
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
hmmm..
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Radar structure continues to look good lol.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
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