ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blow_Hard]

Super nice breeze and some nice gusts here in PC. Yesterday, no wind and a bunch of rain...today no rain and some nice gusts. I'll take the latter over the former any day.

[Rail Dawg]

I think Cat 3 will be the top limit. They just mentioned on the weather channel that there is lots of dry air in the Gulf surrounding Laura. That’s probably why they are also keeping it at as a minimal Cat 3

I hear you on this. They did the same thing with Michael. Bottom line is even with all the fancy computers this thing is going to do what it wants.

Would much prefer a Cat 3 or lower. There is nothing but small towns on flat bayous out towards Sabine Pass. They do not need this.

Chuck

[bohai]

Am here in Houston and am preparing the chaser truck to head for Port Arthur vicinity Wednesday morning. Parking lot garages are few and far between out that way. It may be a get to the coast, tuck my tail and scurry inland a ways.

Have been thinking Cat 4 for a day or so but there is a small part of me thinking Cat 5. Purely an educated guess. Michael surprised everyone and went Cat 5.

There is a garage at Christus Hospital on Calder.

[supercane4867]

Am here in Houston and am preparing the chaser truck to head for Port Arthur vicinity Wednesday morning. Parking lot garages are few and far between out that way. It may be a get to the coast, tuck my tail and scurry inland a ways.

Have been thinking Cat 4 for a day or so but there is a small part of me thinking Cat 5. Purely an educated guess. Michael surprised everyone and went Cat 5.

I think Cat 3 will be the top limit. They just mentioned on the weather channel that there is lots of dry air in the Gulf surrounding Laura. That’s probably why they are also keeping it at as a minimal Cat 3

Dry air itself is not an impediment without shear. Just look at EPAC systems in the past that developed into annular CAT4s under extremely dry environment.

[Highteeld]

May see a small jog west given how dominant the hot tower is now. lots of heating going on there = pressure

[Rail Dawg]

There is a garage at Christus Hospital on Calder.

Thank you!

Chuck

[tolakram]

[Highteeld]

Really strong updraft in that hot tower, seeing lightning

[Steve]

I have been hearing a lot of talk here in my area that it will miss us but with landfall only 75 miles from the Humble/Houston area I am concerned that a little wobble just before landfall could set it right over us (center).

That is definitely a possibility. At this time anywhere from Galveston to Lake Charles is definitely in play.

Yea we are prepping I do not want to take any chances. Going to stay home as where I am at flooding is not an issue

Good luck wally.

[sphelps8681]

Live in Lumberton just North of Beaumont and was wondering when we will see rain/wind coming in?

[supercane4867]

Eyewall wrapping up on IR too.

[TennTradition]

Live in Lumberton just North of Beaumont and was wondering when we will see rain/wind coming in?

Tomorrow evening.

[Ken711]

Is Laura currently tracking on the NHC forecast now?

[sphelps8681]

Live in Lumberton just North of Beaumont and was wondering when we will see rain/wind coming in?

Tomorrow evening.

Thanks so much. Praying for everyone in the path!!

[Do_For_Love]

I wouldn't want to get hit with this storm right now the way it looks, much less after another day of strengthening.

[bohai]

Voluntary Evacuations for coastal areas of Harris County near Galveston Bay including NASA area. https://www.readyharris.org/Newsroom/Re ... day-145-pm

[KWT]

Looks like the southern eyewall is nearly close to closing off.

Worth noting that Michael in 2018 didn't get rid of its weaker E/SE eyewall until it got into the 100kt+ range, so that maybe the same with Laura.

Either way, its getting better and the CDO is likely to cover that large eye soon enough and probably start to contract it down. I don't know how much deepening there will be right now, but soon enough that presentation is going to bear fruit.

[aspen]

Wasn’t recon supposed to head out an hour ago? Or was it 3:30 EST instead of CDT?

[galvestontx]

Is Laura currently tracking on the NHC forecast now?

I would say its a little west of nhc track.

[Beef Stew]

These most recent hot towers firing off have been impressive; so has the general uptick in convection over the past few hours. I'm curious to see what recon finds- I'd also suspect pressures in the mid to low 980's and winds around 75 kts.