ATL: LAURA - Models

[WeatherEmperor]

Here is the HWRF so far. Much further north compared to before




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[caneseddy]

HWRF going north of the islands heading WNW as a strong TS.

[eastcoastFL]

HMON 126hrs... hope from there it’s out to sea

[SouthFLTropics]

That’s only hour 111.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SconnieCane]

So instead of windshield-wipering on track, the models are seesawing on intensity. Surprise surprise...

[toad strangler]

HMON 126hrs... hope from there it’s out to sea



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hmon/2020081818/hmon_mslp_wind_98L_38.png

HMON and it's hurricane brethren were birthed with intensity in mind above track.

[SFLcane]

What’s going on in here?

[caneseddy]

So HMON goes from a wave/TD to a major hurricane north of Turks and Caicos heading WNW in one run.

HWRF goes north as well of the islands and turns into a major approaching SE Bahamas heading WNW

Go figure

[WeatherEmperor]

HWRF really getting strong north of Hispanola




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[TheStormExpert]

Hmmmm

https://i.ibb.co/3WBzKsC/GEFS.png

That’s Happy Hour GFS for ya!

[SouthFLTropics]

Whew...HWRF from hour 102 to hour 114 goes from 985 and 54 knots to 966mb and 83 knots. That’s a pretty good increase in 12 hours, all North of Hispaniola.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SouthFLTropics]

Still climbing, 956mb and 95 knots at hour 120, WNW in the SE Bahamas.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[WeatherEmperor]

Hwrf exploding heading WNW. I know we joke around sometimes about this.....but I really do hope the magic trap door opens soon. Nobody wants this




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SFLcane]

[caneseddy]

:eek:

https://cdn1.bbcode0.com/uploads/2020/8/19/c504e9780b6cdd1fff1d4e23b4e2080d-full.png

Irma's baby sister

[TheStormExpert]

We need an actual center and storm to form before we look too much at the hurricane models. We saw this same story of over-intensifying Isaias in its early stages.

[toad strangler]

We need an actual center and storm to form before we look too much at the hurricane models.

Man I don't agree with you much at all but this time I do.

[SouthFLTropics]

HWRF Hour 126, 944MB, 120 knots


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SouthFLTropics]

I think that may be the strongest run I’ve seen of any model in the Atlantic so far this year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[AutoPenalti]

HWRF bombs 98L north of the islands? Wow, who didn’t see this one coming.

Almost like no land interaction occurred here.