CMC at 90 hours is right along the coast at Grand Isle, LA at 1000mb. You can see the expanded wind field the NHC noted. I was wondering myself when I was running some of the early models if that might be the case. Along with other models that sniffed out the landfall and likely run up the Yucatan (or develop a new circulation east of there), this tells me the center is sufficiently disrupted that instead of tightening up it will blow out - angular momentum or whatever. So that means that even though it won't be able to strengthen to a higher potential peak, area of winds should be larger and affect more people. Hopefully if the winds inland are 25-30, it's not that big of a deal. But if you have widespread gale or TS+, you already know limbs come down and lots of power goes out. So we'll have to see if the CMC is right. HMON and HWRF are running now.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0400&fh=90^^ The above post is just a discussion of what the CMC is showing, not necessarily what I think will happen.
Also, CMC has the heaviest rainfall aligned in two bands - one pointing toward south Walton/30-A and the other into around Cross City which has about a foot of water expected by the Canadian.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 400&fh=120
