ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Kingarabian]

Actually I should've looked at the entire picture before making my statement. There's clearly flow coming in from the SW but it's interrupted off the Yucatan. Carry on

[Hurricane Mike]

Midnight video update on Hurricane Laura
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib1gn1JnjJo

[sponger]

Saying the term annular here is like dropping an f bomb at church. While vis does not indicate, the IR definately looks ish by definition. Limited Banding.

[Beef Stew]

You are correct. Typhoon Haitian was never truly annular. But did have a very annular appearance other than the convective banding. I guess my point is that Laura is not even close to symmetrical.

Foregoing the impacts to humans and property, I wish she had another 24 hours under these conditions to see what Mother Nature is capable of.

After a couple of EWRCs, I could easily see Laura going annular in the Gulf.


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Laura will in no way have time for multiple EWRCs. And that's not something to wish for if it had another 24 hrs...

Florence did 2 at the same time though lol

Florence loved to replace eyewalls more than Laura's loved land interaction...

Anyhow, that's quite an impressive spell of hot towers she's firing off in the last few satellite frames. Pressure isn't going to stop falling like a brick any time soon.

[TheStormExpert]

Not sure if this tweet was posted but the warm waters in the Western Gulf don’t extend below the surface. Of course considering that Laura is moving and not forecasted to stall it shouldn’t be much of a problem though it could limit its intensity potential.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298423100095299585

[DocB]

Actually I should've looked at the entire picture before making my statement. There's clearly flow coming in from the SW but it's interrupted off the Yucatan. Carry on

In defense of your statement though... she’s got the right stuff. Just not enough time. She does look like a storm that could attain that status if given the opportunity.


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[Highteeld]

Laura will in no way have time for multiple EWRCs. And that's not something to wish for if it had another 24 hrs...

Florence did 2 at the same time though lol

Florence loved to change eyewalls more than Laura's loved land interaction...

Anyhow, that's quite an impressive spell of hot towers she's firing in the last few satellite frames. Pressure isn't going to stop falling like a brick any time soon.

With 4 hot towers going off at the same time around a broken eyewall, it should fill in the gaps shortly. I think the eyewall is completed in about 2-3 hours. Thereafter, the true "RI" that everyone wants to see will occur.

[Kingarabian]

Not sure if this tweet was posted but the warm waters in the Western Gulf don’t extend below the surface. Of course considering that Laura is moving and not forecasted to stall it shouldn’t be much of a problem though it could limit its intensity potential.

[url]https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298423100095299585[url]

I swear this might be the 3rd or 4th OHC graphic I've seen in the past 48 hours. All of them show something different.

[cfisher]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

[DestinHurricane]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

land. That kind of intensification within this amount of time is not really physically possible. It would need more time over water.

[cfisher]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

land

[cheezyWXguy]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

Whats stopping this from rivaling the strongest storm in the western hemisphere? A lot.

[Highteeld]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

Whats stopping this from rivaling the strongest storm in the western hemisphere? A lot.

The size of the eye is the biggest limiting factor.

[eastcoastFL]

Not sure if this tweet was posted but the warm waters in the Western Gulf don’t extend below the surface. Of course considering that Laura is moving and not forecasted to stall it shouldn’t be much of a problem though it could limit its intensity potential.

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298423100095299585

Is that even possible for the water to be cooled from Hannah at this point? I don’t doubt the waters are cooler but I find it hard to believe it’s from Hannah.

[cheezyWXguy]

What's stopping this from bombing out like Patricia once the eye clears?

Whats stopping this from rivaling the strongest storm in the western hemisphere? A lot.

The size of the eye is the biggest limiting factor.

OHC, time, broad structure, southern inflow being modified by the Yucatan to name a few. I am pretty sure neither the rate of intensification, nor the intensity, is even physically possible in the gulf.

[eastcoastFL]

[TheStormExpert]

Not sure if this tweet was posted but the warm waters in the Western Gulf don’t extend below the surface. Of course considering that Laura is moving and not forecasted to stall it shouldn’t be much of a problem though it could limit its intensity potential.

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298423100095299585

Is that even possible for the water to be cooled from Hannah at this point? I don’t doubt the waters are cooler but I find it hard to believe it’s from Hannah.

Eric Webb says it is.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298424415080910851




 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298426422147547136

[NotoSans]

Laura looks like a standard T5.0 on the Dvorak scale now, so wouldn’t be surprised to see recon finding category 2 winds. Once the eye begins to clear out, intensification would be more rapid. Personally won’t rule out a category 4 peak near the Gulf coast.

[ConvergenceZone]

I'm starting to wonder if we will ever see the eye or if it will always be covered up with clouds up until landfall.....

[eastcoastFL]

Not sure if this tweet was posted but the warm waters in the Western Gulf don’t extend below the surface. Of course considering that Laura is moving and not forecasted to stall it shouldn’t be much of a problem though it could limit its intensity potential.

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298423100095299585

Is that even possible for the water to be cooled from Hannah at this point? I don’t doubt the waters are cooler but I find it hard to believe it’s from Hannah.

Eric Webb says it is.



https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1298424415080910851

I see that but I’d like some other Mets opinion on it. I asked a few weeks ago if something like that was possible and I was told no for a smaller weaker hurricane. Basically they said it would have to be a big major that was in the same area for a while to have a long term effect beyond a week or so.