ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

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LadyBug72
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#541 Postby LadyBug72 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:14 pm

GCANE wrote:
LadyBug72 wrote:
GCANE wrote:The BoC ULL is dissipating.
The ULL over the Mexican desert is taking over and firing convection quickly.
Two big sinks for ventilation - poleward and equatorward outflow channels.
Very rarely see this in the Atlantic.
Pretty much a WPAC characteristic.


Will that affect the track of the storm?

What does this mean for this storm? Sorry I’m a newbie to all of this.


Good chance for a much stronger storm than currently anticipated.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#542 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:14 pm

There is your core developing. and low to mid level eye developing, the shrimp test.. or whatever you want to call it these days lol

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#543 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:15 pm

Not sure if this is the beginning of the formation of an inner core, but we'll see here shortly...

 https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/1286422370429919232


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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#544 Postby Hammy » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:18 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Not sure if this is the beginning of the formation of an inner core, but we'll see here shortly...

https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/1286422370429919232


I just noticed that as well and it looks a lot better than it did a few hours ago. Could exceed the forecast though I don't know if there's time to become a hurricane.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#545 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:18 pm

Wonder how the strengthening will affect the overall track
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#546 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:20 pm

It’s ramping up to be the biggest surprise of the season so far.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#547 Postby tiger_deF » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:21 pm

Convection has warmed a little but the structure has been improving quickly

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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#548 Postby abk_0710 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:22 pm

hicksta wrote:Wonder how the strengthening will affect the overall track


I was also wondering this.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#549 Postby Steve H. » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:22 pm

TD#8 is coming together nicely now. Good thing it will run out of real estate since it looks like it will ramp up quickly until landfall. Just my opinion but it's probably reaching storm (TS) status now.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#550 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:22 pm

ozonepete wrote:
GCANE wrote:Anti-cyclone right on top of this.
Its all there, spinning up.

https://i.imgur.com/JaIvz83.gif


Yes, GCANE, this chart plus your other recent comments about outflow are on the money. You can see the outflow developing rapidly in almost all quadrants now if you watch the visible loops. It's that upper level venting with no inhibition at the lower levels plus good mid-level RH that will get this ramping really fast tonight. RI is quite possible. Hurricane is quite possible now.


Much thanks Ozonepete. I hope all is well with you and you and your family are staying healthy.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#551 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:24 pm

How strong will 8 get?
A 40 to 50
B 50 to 60
C 60 to 70
D 70+
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#552 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:25 pm

HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:How strong will 8 get?
A 40 to 50
B 50 to 60
C 60 to 70
D 70+


70+
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#553 Postby SFLcane » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:25 pm

That outflow is sweet!!!
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#554 Postby tiger_deF » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:26 pm

Looking great on visible

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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#555 Postby toad strangler » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:27 pm

SFLcane wrote:That outflow is sweet!!!


yeah it is. #2020gonna2020
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#556 Postby shiny-pebble » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:28 pm

tiger_deF wrote:Looking great on visible

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/ima ... n269.7.jpg
You can really see the inner core developing and where the eye would be. Really needs to be watched tonight because it looks like the only thing stopping this from bombing is timing, in my amateur opinion

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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#557 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:28 pm

Thanks once my fall hits, the store will tighten up and really get its act together. The structure looks very impressive right now. With good structure in place it will intensify quickly. Should be an interesting evening.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#558 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:28 pm

And to think, she still has all day tomorrow to get even stronger, yikes!
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#559 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:30 pm

there is literally nothing stopping this storm at the current time from getting stronger. wouldn't be surprised if it can make a run to near cat 1 status by tomorrow night.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#560 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:31 pm

Come on Miss Piggy Radar
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