ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AutoPenalti]

Ridge will definitely build on top of this, watch out.

[Evil Jeremy]

I went to bed looking at a code yellow that might put itself together as it passes Florida to the East.

I wake up, now we’re at 50% over the next two days, it’s an invest, and now looks to move into the SE GOM.

I need to stop going to sleep.

[Aric Dunn]

Ridge will definitely build on top of this, watch out.

This first trough could very well lift out and this gets trapped meandering wnw for awhile. in which case we would have a bigger problem..

[AutoPenalti]

Ridge will definitely build on top of this, watch out.

This first trough could very well lift out and this gets trapped meandering wnw for awhile. in which case we would have a bigger problem..

Yep, looks like another case where SW FL and the Gulf need to keep an eye on this, and it looks to be developing fast.

[NDG]

After looking at a better radar loop from the Cayman Islands the LLC is indeed very close over the Cayman Islands, well removed from the MLC to the SE of it.

[Aric Dunn]

After looking at a better radar loop from the Cayman Islands the LLC is indeed very close over the Cayman Islands, well removed from the MLC to the SE of it.

https://i.imgur.com/LirXqzq.gif

There could easily be one farther south as well. which is typical during development stages to have multiple vorts.

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1319638669746147329




 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1319641974203351042

[Frank2]

@JimCantore
Stout shortwave to entering the northern Rockies later today and eventually pull out into the southern Plains next week with decent mountain snow and significant rainfall once it pulls out. How this feature (if at all) influences #95L is still in question but worth watching.

[northjaxpro]

The main LLC is just northwest of Grand Caymon Island. NHC is spot on with that.

[xironman]

Kind of old from last night, but a nice little circ.

[Frank2]

According to the Cowan photo the MLC is much further south at 17.5N 81.7W - still too early to tell what will come of all this...

[gatorcane]

Huge anticyclone over top:

[TheStormExpert]

Huge anticyclone over top:

https://i.postimg.cc/TwSLgbq3/wg8shr.gif

For now, but look what awaits it if and when it begins to lift north. Probably why the GFS dropped development days ago.

[Loveweather12]

Huge anticyclone over top:

https://i.postimg.cc/TwSLgbq3/wg8shr.gif

For now, but look what awaits it if and when it begins to lift north. Probably why the GFS dropped development days ago.

From what I saw, the shear is expected to lift north

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/JackSillin/status/1319647662203916289

[lando]

Huge anticyclone over top:

https://i.postimg.cc/TwSLgbq3/wg8shr.gif

For now, but look what awaits it if and when it begins to lift north. Probably why the GFS dropped development days ago.

Typically the anticyclone travels over in in tandem though right?

[northjaxpro]

Huge anticyclone over top:

https://i.postimg.cc/TwSLgbq3/wg8shr.gif

For now, but look what awaits it if and when it begins to lift north. Probably why the GFS dropped development days ago.

The anticyclone is moving in tandem with 95L. Conditions look decent for development, at least through the next 3-5 days.

[gatorcane]

Historical cyclone tracks. The ones that made it to the northern and western Gulf were in early to mid October.

Courtesy of https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/news/hist ... urricanes/

[xironman]

The more east the better off it is.

[Nuno]

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Yep South Florida is still in the safe zone even though it’s late October climatology means nothing this year. Northern Gulf coast watch this one be safe.

Too early to say that.

Its getting tiring hearing floridians talk about the "shield" or constantly declaring without evidence except for climatology that SFL is "safe"

Going to be a critical 24 hours to see how quickly this spins up