ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[Iceresistance]

Recon has already reported 50 knots when they barely got in!

[supercane4867]

If recon finds pressure below 960mb this pass I’d say CAT5 peak is very probable.

[NDG]

[skyline385]

Think this is the best looking system in the Atlantic this year, especially on IR

[Deshaunrob17]

Lol I've put off my physics lab all day to read updates

[supercane4867]

Lol I've put off my physics lab all day to read updates

Why do physics lab anyway when you can watch atmospheric physics in real time

[cheezyWXguy]

Think this is the best looking system in the Atlantic this year, especially on IR

Already forgetting about raw T 8.5 Eta?

[Iceresistance]

Recon is reporting 60 knots FL wind

[toad strangler]

Late season Caribbean just incredible.

[supercane4867]

Think this is the best looking system in the Atlantic this year, especially on IR

Already forgetting about raw T 8.5 Eta?

To be fair if Eta proves anything it would be that the ADT is skewed too favorably toward the Atlantic basin on cloud top temperature. I think a seasonal adjustment to Raw T calculation would be helpful in such case.

[kevin]

90 kts FL winds, NE quadrant

[supercane4867]

Could be at CAT2 when current recon mission finishes. Winds still lagging pressure drop(as expected)

[Kazmit]

Think this is the best looking system in the Atlantic this year, especially on IR

It seems like we've been repeating this statement the whole season.

[Iceresistance]

90 knots at FL

Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure of 975 MB

[TorSkk]

Think this is the best looking system in the Atlantic this year, especially on IR

Already forgetting about raw T 8.5 Eta?

To be fair if Eta proves anything it would be that the ADT is skewed too favorably toward the Atlantic basin on cloud top temperature. I think a seasonal adjustment to Raw T calculation would be helpful in such case.

It proves that Raw T isn't an intensity estimate, Final T is.

[kevin]

Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure 962.8 mbar, 9.4 mbar drop since the latest pass (972.2 mb). That's a deepening rate of 1.9 mb/hr.

[NDG]

Pressure down to at least the mid 960s mb

225100 1316N 07941W 6966 02827 9628 +145 +111 096008 014 025 000 00

[Cunxi Huang]

Already forgetting about raw T 8.5 Eta?

To be fair if Eta proves anything it would be that the ADT is skewed too favorably toward the Atlantic basin on cloud top temperature. I think a seasonal adjustment to Raw T calculation would be helpful in such case.

It proves that Raw T isn't an intensity estimate, Final T is.

It does not prove, it's a fact.

[supercane4867]

85kt/964mb looks to be a good estimate for current intensity.

[cycloneye]

There it is.