ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[wkwally]

Another thing to remember about the location of this landfall and surge area, there is going to be a lot of nasty wildlife in those flood waters.

Well, I've seen cars on roofs. You suggesting that we might actually see our first post-hurricane with an alligator on someone's roof??

I remember some lady had a gater in her livingroom post Harvey.

[Highteeld]

Big mesovort in the NE eyewall

[us89]

The emergancy alert on the TV just went off here in Humble and from what it looks like on Channel 11 my area is now under a Hurricane warning. However when I looked at the NWS map it is showing that we are still under a TS warning. Can anyone verify?

TS warning for inland Harris County including Humble. Coastal parts of Harris are still in the hurricane warning.

[KWT]

This should be upgraded to a category 5 with that data set. Hard to deny this is the best it has looked in its life. Sad thing is, it is close to landfall while doing this. Praying for the people down there.

Its borderline, the 133kts certainly puts a claim out there, waiting to see what the dropsonde data suggests. However I suspect the NHC will err on the conservative side and go with the 130kts unless a legitimate 135kts+ wind comes through in the next few hours.

[Ken711]

https://i.imgur.com/WwFlj4G.png

Looks very scary with the land outline so close to the eye.

[ronjon]

They don’t actually explicitly call for a Cat 5 in the advisory.

and a CAT 5 is 157 mph to be official, not that it makes a difference at this point

Exactly. The effects of a strong Cat 4 or low end Cat 5 are no different, very much the same.

Ok my bad...thought I read 150 kts. It's forecast as a strong CAT 4 at 150 mph. Little difference in over all impacts. As most will recall, Katrina weakened to a CAT 3 storm at 125 mph at landfall and still caused massive surge flooding. Big powerful hurricanes like this one cause massive impacts.

[GeneratorPower]

Unreal.

https://i.imgur.com/aX1t2fM.jpg

For all the fun I have tracking these things, that right there is stomach turning and disgusting.

[wkwally]

The emergancy alert on the TV just went off here in Humble and from what it looks like on Channel 11 my area is now under a Hurricane warning. However when I looked at the NWS map it is showing that we are still under a TS warning. Can anyone verify?

TS warning for inland Harris County including Humble. Coastal parts of Harris are still in the hurricane warning.

OK was a little concerned there. maybe someone was a little trigger happy at the TV station.

[ronjon]

https://i.imgur.com/WwFlj4G.png

Looks very scary with the land outline so close to the eye.

Wow look at that stadium effect view...powerful storm. No hype needed. This one will be historic.

[chaser1]

Well, Laura has officially passed my prediction for a peak of 939 mbars.

Had to go back to the other thread and double-check my prediction. My 927mb is not looking too bad right now

[eastcoastFL]

Well, Laura has officially passed my prediction for a peak of 939 mbars.

I had 130kts as my prediction and I thought I was a bit over doing it. Who would’ve thought I maybe on the conservative side.

[aspen]

It’s crazy that Laura is on the cusp of Category 5 intensity, and it still has like six hours over water

[eastcoastFL]

Well, Laura has officially passed my prediction for a peak of 939 mbars.

Had to go back to the other thread and double-check my prediction. My 927mb is not looking too bad right now

I think you maybe on the money

[Sciencerocks]

Question. Whats the strongest hurricane to hit Western Louisiana in recorded history? Will this threaten it???

[tolakram]

Michael is nowhere close to this storm. Michael was a beast, but Laura is something else entirely

Based on what?

No storm comparisons please, let's stick to Laura.

[ConvergenceZone]

I know this isn’t mentioned much. But I also feel so bad for the animals. They were showing someone on the weather channel reporting from Cameron and you could see dozens and dozens of cattle in the field, and just knowing they will probably all be dead by tomorrow at this time I’d very sad. Jim Cantore also mentioned the timber and cattle loss on his tweet as well

[eastcoastFL]

It’s crazy that Laura is on the cusp of Category 5 intensity, and it still has like six hours over water

Just 2 hours ago the nhc has her over water for 12 more hours. I hope your prediction is closer

[cfisher]

Michael is nowhere close to this storm. Michael was a beast, but Laura is something else entirely

Based on what?

Total kinetic energy, storm surge, structure, etc.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Well I had 937 Mb as my target lowest pressure but only because the HWRF model showed it...now that was at landfall and we still have a ways to go likely won’t hold. Incredible.

[Txdivermom]

No kidding. Odds of surviving Covid are like 95% plus. Laura? Let's just say a lot less.

Didn't think I'd be seeing horrible covid takes but I'm not surprised I guess. A pandemic causing virus that's killed 170,000 people without the fall and winter months and it not having itself firmly established until later is waaay different than a powerful hurricane barreling towards the coast. How many people do you think die from hurricanes like Laura in the US? Michael thankfully hit a less populated area and killed 74 people but you think 170,000 people dying in 6 months just in the US is a better chance of survival than a powerful hurricane that most people can actually evacuate from? These types of takes shouldn't even be said during a storm like this imo but of course someone ends up saying it :\

Good but extremely sobering post. Just catastrosphic any way you look at this with both Laura and the COVID-19 pandemic, now over 180,000 COVID-19 related deaths now .

I guess our interpretations of this post are quite different. I read this as “you should be much more scared of the storm than COVID 19”. Reason being...If you don’t evacuate from certain areas, almost guaranteed death. If you do evacuate and happen to get COVID, only 1/2% chance of death. I read this post as if you are better taking a chance with COVID because this storm is so deadly. How is that a horrible take? People need to evacuate!