ATL: JOSEPHINE - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Bye.

11L JOSEPHINE 200816 1200 20.2N 64.5W ATL 30 1009

[wxman57]

NOOOO!! I think it's a HURRICANE! Look at the spiral banding into the eye! Needs an immediate upgrade!

[GeneratorPower]

NOOOO!! I think it's a HURRICANE! Look at the spiral banding into the eye! Needs an immediate upgrade!

http://wxman57.com/images/reverse.JPG

That escalated quickly

[wxman57]

NOOOO!! I think it's a HURRICANE! Look at the spiral banding into the eye! Needs an immediate upgrade!

http://wxman57.com/images/reverse.JPG

That escalated quickly

I'm trying reverse psychology. I estimate it's now a Cat 3 with 105 kt winds.

[GeneratorPower]

NOOOO!! I think it's a HURRICANE! Look at the spiral banding into the eye! Needs an immediate upgrade!

http://wxman57.com/images/reverse.JPG

That escalated quickly

I'm trying reverse psychology. I estimate it's now a Cat 3 with 105 kt winds.

[Aric Dunn]

just waking up..

I see we have a happy little sheared TC pulsing convection.. as expected.. probably will do this for awhile.

[AutoPenalti]

NOOOO!! I think it's a HURRICANE! Look at the spiral banding into the eye! Needs an immediate upgrade!

http://wxman57.com/images/reverse.JPG

Looks fine to me.

[GCANE]

Actually, its easy to see its in much more unstable air today.
Cumulus building quickly in the swirl and over PR and Hispaniola as well.
Convection to the NE of the swirl is pulling in as well.
Won't be the first time I see a naked swirl get dressed.

[AnnularCane]

just waking up..

I see we have a happy little sheared TC pulsing convection.. as expected.. probably will do this for awhile.

A happy little sheared TC...seems like an oxymoron.

[GCANE]

Looks like its a hair north of 20N 65W
Way, way south of the forecast track.
I would say its moving nearly due west.
That means it avoids the major portion of the forecasted shear due to the TUTT shredder UL Jet.
Stay tuned.

[gatorcane]

She is on life support, there is no debate about that. Models did a good job predicting her demise.

[EquusStorm]

[GCANE]

I wager she's probably dressed for late afternoon / evening cocktails.
Pretty strong lightning firing just to the NE.

[GCANE]

Right where she is supposed to be, just as the models predicted.
NOT

[JaxGator]

She is on life support, there is no debate about that. Models did a good job predicting her demise.

Well, Joe was forecasted to die days ago, like last week, but still. She’s a fighter. I’m still keeping an eye on it until she’s no more

[tailgater]

Josephine reminds me of Ethyl, Ethyl of the Streak! Ethyl gets your clothes on

[xironman]

She is on life support, there is no debate about that. Models did a good job predicting her demise.

Actually no, the demise in shear was going to happen. But the placement of the low is hundreds of miles off. It seems like the heavily sheared convection is close enough to keep it going for a while as it gets into a slightly moister environment. It does not look Bermuda bound

[abajan]

She is on life support, there is no debate about that. Models did a good job predicting her demise.

Being on life support doesn't equal death. Model chickens ought not be counted till hatched.

[Nimbus]

Looks like its a hair north of 20N 65W
Way, way south of the forecast track.
I would say its moving nearly due west.
That means it avoids the major portion of the forecasted shear due to the TUTT shredder UL Jet.
Stay tuned.

The shear in the southern Bahamas didn't look too bad yesterday when the CMC model insisted a 1012 TD would cross South Florida and ruin WXman57's vacation. The pressure profile is flattening as we speak so if this doesn't get out of the shear in the next 48 hours its likely to open up into a wave anyways.

[GCANE]

Looks like an outflow boundary just hit the swirl.
She if she survives this one.