ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[wx98]

Good reminder of the time of year. I’ve been very skeptical from the start of those calling for RI to Cat 2, 3, 4. It appears slightly stronger this morning, yet slightly more disorganized than last night. A minimal hurricane will be difficult at this rate, unless it can get it’s act together this afternoon.

[NDG]

Satellite radar about 1.5 hrs ago.
Recon puts it a bit north.

https://i.imgur.com/1651Xu8.png

What the satellite shows might be the mid level circulation, clearly tilted due to the light northerly shear right now.

Red dot is where the recon found the LLC.

[TexasSam]

It looks like Hanna is filling up most of the Gulf.

[Do_For_Love]

It looks like Hanna is filling up most of the Gulf.

Yeah I'm kind of in awe at the raw size of this system! Huge storm.

NHC is calling for strengthening to 65 mph by landfall, so I wouldn't go and rule out a hurricane just yet. Some of the gulf storms like to get it together right before landfall...

[HeeBGBz]

Woke up to extremely heavy rain this am. Is this a band coming through? The rain woke me up because it is torrential.

[NDG]

Good reminder of the time of year. I’ve been very skeptical from the start of those calling for RI to Cat 2, 3, 4. It appears slightly stronger this morning, yet slightly more disorganized than last night. A minimal hurricane will be difficult at this rate, unless it can get it’s act together this afternoon.

It still has a good 30 hours over water, the latest Euro, GFS and along with the HWRF show it strengthening tomorrow morning before making landfall.

[NDG]

Woke up to extremely heavy rain this am. Is this a band coming through? The rain woke me up because it is torrential.

A lot deep tropical moisture to its east rotating around towards the central gulf coast today.

[stormlover2013]

Good reminder of the time of year. I’ve been very skeptical from the start of those calling for RI to Cat 2, 3, 4. It appears slightly stronger this morning, yet slightly more disorganized than last night. A minimal hurricane will be difficult at this rate, unless it can get it’s act together this afternoon.

It can get to a cat 1, will strengthen closer to landfall, 24 more hours over water

[wx98]

Good reminder of the time of year. I’ve been very skeptical from the start of those calling for RI to Cat 2, 3, 4. It appears slightly stronger this morning, yet slightly more disorganized than last night. A minimal hurricane will be difficult at this rate, unless it can get it’s act together this afternoon.

It still has a good 30 hours over water, the latest Euro, GFS and along with the HWRF show it strengthening tomorrow morning before making landfall.

I agree. Like I said, it first has to get its act together and start intensifying though.

[TheStormExpert]

Hanna needs to get some convection going on it’s NW side in order to RI or intensify into a hurricane. Hanna kind of reminds me of Hurricane Alex in 2010 where the pressure was dropping yet the winds weren’t increasing due to its large and broad size. Never was able to maintain major status before heading into NE Mexico south of the Texas border.

[Ubuntwo]

A ship SE of the storm's center just reported 48kt sustained winds.

[dantonlsu]

Woke up to extremely heavy rain this am. Is this a band coming through? The rain woke me up because it is torrential.

A lot deep tropical moisture to its east rotating around towards the central gulf coast today.

Wonder if this is what other models have picked up on.

[GCANE]

35 to 40 mm/hr rain rate.
Core is still warming up.

[Cpv17]

Hanna needs to get some convection going on it’s NW side in order to RI or intensify into a hurricane. Hanna kind of reminds me of Hurricane Alex in 2010 where the pressure was dropping yet the winds weren’t increasing due to its large and broad size. Never was able to maintain major status before heading into NE Mexico south of the Texas border.

This is why places like Brownsville will probably get more rain than places like Victoria and points north of there. Odd. Very little convection north of the center. I guess the dry air is doing that.

[Extratropical94]

A ship SE of the storm's center just reported 48kt sustained winds.

Another ship ENE of the current center reported 35kts sustained.

[BobHarlem]

It looks like Hanna is filling up most of the Gulf.

Yeah I'm kind of in awe at the raw size of this system! Huge storm.

NHC is calling for strengthening to 65 mph by landfall, so I wouldn't go and rule out a hurricane just yet. Some of the gulf storms like to get it together right before landfall...

Yeah I'm surprised the NHC isn't calling out at least some surge from this, the large systems tend to overachieve on that side of things.

[catskillfire51]

Coastal Emergency Risk Assessment site shows 3.5'-4' of surge around Port O'Connor and to the back of Corpus Christi Bay

[Mob1]

Per recon, pressure is down to around 999 mb or so.

[GCANE]

999.5 from 1001.8 mb in 1.5 hrs

[GCANE]

CAPE usually takes off around 3 to 5PM in the GoM.
With pressure now starting to drop better and possible deep convection firing late afternoon; tonight should see a big jump in wind speeds.