ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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mpic
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#881 Postby mpic » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:39 am

I've never been so happy to see a cold front this early in Texas. Prayers for CA.
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ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#882 Postby Sanibel » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:39 am

You could see the trochoidal wobbling last night on satellite and pinhole eye but I didn't want to say anything...

Very similar to Wilma which formed out of a monsoon trough too...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#883 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:39 am

Kazmit wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:

What is ERI?

Extremely rapid intensification

Ohhhhhhh noooooooo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#884 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:40 am

Someone please command GOES-EAST to switch its mesosector back to Eta. This is frustrating lol

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#885 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:41 am

Any latest measurements of Eta's eye?
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#886 Postby al78 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:41 am

This looks like a storm that would end up retired if it wasn't a Greek storm.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#887 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:45 am

Meso #2 is on Eta now

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#888 Postby wxman57 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:45 am

Iceresistance wrote:Any latest measurements of Eta's eye?


I'm measuring about 9-10 miles across. Hard to be very precise, as the eye diameter at the surface is smaller than that at the top, and we can't see the surface well.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#889 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:46 am

wxman57 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Any latest measurements of Eta's eye?


I'm measuring about 9-10 miles across. Hard to be very precise, as the eye diameter at the surface is smaller than that at the top, and we can't see the surface well.

I forgot to say the Temp. :P
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#890 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:47 am

wxman57 wrote:
underthwx wrote:
NDG wrote:
I am not sure why they are questioning why the global models show a cyclone in the NW Caribbean by the end of the week, by following the h85 vorticity from Eta it is clearly the same cyclone reforming when its vorticity goes back over water by then.


That's what confused me NDG...and ETA is a powerful cyclone unfortunately...I also wonder how much it will weaken...even spending time over land, before reemerging over water....


Eta is a rather small hurricane. It will be inland for over 48 hrs, passing over some tall mountains in Honduras on Wed/Thu. It may be lucky to retain its circulation when it emerges off the coast of Honduras, but it should redevelop this weekend.


Thankyou Wxman57...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#891 Postby Emmett_Brown » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:48 am

ETA's core is compact, but the overall circulation of ETA has expanded quite a bit. Visible loops of the Caribbean show that the low level circulation covers almost the entire western Caribbean basin.
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ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#892 Postby Sanibel » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:48 am

I've never seen the entire Central Dense Overcast (CDO) do a long cycle trochoid wobble like Eta was doing around 2am last night...

Must be a phenomenon of small cyclones...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#893 Postby Blown Away » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:48 am

Image
Image
Bilwi will likely be in the N eyewall. Fortunately the area is very low density, but the Bilwi community is in the direct path. Eta is a pretty small storm in size, so a 25 mile adjustment S would make a huge difference.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#894 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:49 am

Eye a little warmer now, possibly 115-125 mph right now.
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#895 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:52 am

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis

Just WOW. Recon is going to be in for a bumpy ride once they do get there. :eek:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#896 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:52 am

Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/XKXc8zL.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/mUmBJwt.jpg
Bilwi will likely be in the N eyewall. Fortunately the area is very low density, but the Bilwi community is in the direct path. Eta is a pretty small storm in size, so a 25 mile adjustment S would make a huge difference.


Hopefully the residents have left the area...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#897 Postby TheHurricaneGod » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:52 am

Never thought we'd make it this far. Congrats 2020
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#898 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:52 am

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#899 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:53 am


Is the eye gone? Or is it a pinhole?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#900 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:54 am

Iceresistance wrote:

Is the eye gone? Or is it a pinhole?

Pinhole
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