ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Has the Atlantic ever had a storm jump from Cat 2 to Cat 5? Maybe happen here folks if we can get some recon in a few hours.
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hurricaneCW
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:NHC still saying 110 mph. . .
This thing is a Category 4 right now.
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:HurricaneEnzo wrote:aspen wrote:What’s the status on the other plane? The one that was supposed to head out at 17z?
Grounded with a maintenance issue. Hopefully taking off soon.
I thought that was the 15z/10am flight.
Possibly. The way I read the tweet posted in here sounded like the 17z was delayed as well. But maybe it was referring to the earlier flight.
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ubuntwo wrote:Iceresistance wrote:NHC still saying 110 mph. . .
They haven't put out their 1PM yet.
Normally, if something like this happens, there is a update on this.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:It still feels like October, even though it's November! Eta is a CAT 4 by now.
Well... October was 2 days ago!
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye appears to be contracting on IR.
Very likely a pinhole now.
Very heavy lightning on the eyewall.
More pronounced gravity waves on the CDO.
I would put some money on it being a major at this point.
Very likely a pinhole now.
Very heavy lightning on the eyewall.
More pronounced gravity waves on the CDO.
I would put some money on it being a major at this point.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Eye appears to be contracting on IR.
Very likely a pinhole now.
Very heavy lightning on the eyewall.
More pronounced gravity waves on the CDO.
I would put some money on it being a major at this point.
I knew there was lightning, but not that much, I'm betting 130-150 mph.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
CMG?? ETA says it wants CDG. Definitely not on the thick side but trying to close off a tiny ring of it. 
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEnzo wrote:CMG?? ETA says it wants CDG. Definitely not on the thick side but trying to close off a tiny ring of it.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
This is becoming scary with Eta
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Ubuntwo wrote:Iceresistance wrote:NHC still saying 110 mph. . .
They haven't put out their 1PM yet.
Normally, if something like this happens, there is a update on this.
I doubt they would put out a special advisory without recon. Otherwise, NHC does not update intensity in real time. Next update will be out in 20 min or so
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEnzo wrote:CMG?? ETA says it wants CDG. Definitely not on the thick side but trying to close off a tiny ring of it.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
What is the latest from the Dvorak numbers?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
This thing is a BEAST
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
The pinhole eye is so small that its true eye temp may not ever resolve by satellite. We need to get a recon in there.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Oh my gosh! This is unbelievable
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Anything from Recon?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
When is next recon? They need to be out there right now
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Windy.com Satellite is having trouble picking up the pinhole eye, it's at least 10 miles wide.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:When is next recon? They need to be out there right now
Whenever they finish that maintenance issue.
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