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sma10 wrote:Yeah i think this could be a quick spin up, as suggested by some recent modeling. Million dollar question is if it carries into C.A. or stalls out in Carib
Hurricaneman wrote:sma10 wrote:Yeah i think this could be a quick spin up, as suggested by some recent modeling. Million dollar question is if it carries into C.A. or stalls out in Carib
A stall is quite possible if the ridge builds around the system and not just north of it because if it builds also west of it this system can't go anywhere until a trough picks it up similar to what the 18zGFS is showing
aspen wrote:Pre-Eta did not topple the record held by pre-Zeta, although this had a chance of becoming stronger and more impactful.
northjaxpro wrote:96L looks rather vigorous in the early stages. I think it could become a TD possibly within the next 24 hours or sooner. It is already at 1009 mb.
cycloneye wrote:96L INVEST 201030 0000 12.0N 78.0W ATL 15 1009
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LarryWx wrote:cycloneye wrote:96L INVEST 201030 0000 12.0N 78.0W ATL 15 1009
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Luis,
That suggests it is already at 78W. That doesn't seem right. Isn't it still further east near the Lesser Antilles? Please someone clarify. Thanks.
cp79 wrote:Questions to be answered:
1) Will the cold fronts sweeping through Florida the next two days keep it safe from 96L?
2) Will 96L go fully into the CA or stall out just before getting there, then wait for something to give it some guidance.
3) Is the Northern Gulf Coast in the clear or will there be another HP move over Florida to steer it into the Central Gulf? (This is assuming there is a lag in incoming troughs).
cp79 wrote:Questions to be answered:
1) Will the cold fronts sweeping through Florida the next two days keep it safe from 96L?
2) Will 96L go fully into the CA or stall out just before getting there, then wait for something to give it some guidance.
3) Is the Northern Gulf Coast in the clear or will there be another HP move over Florida to steer it into the Central Gulf? (This is assuming there is a lag in incoming troughs).
tiger_deF wrote:Something this season is just encouraging any puff of clouds with a scant amount of vorticity to start developing. Never seen anything like it. Dry air has been above average especially earlier in the season, and shear has also been around normal, so the amount of tropical systems that have been pumped out ever since June is incredible. Especially near land, outside of Delta, all the storms this season have intensified right into the moment of landfall. One potential theory could be atmospheric factors which overcome some of the initial land interaction/dry air absorption by approaching cyclones.
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