ATL: SAM - Remnants - Discussion

[chaser1]

Sam has certainly appeared to track more poleward in the past few hours. In spite of this however, my eyes depict what I believe to be increased ridging to the immediate north of the storm. Perhaps it's more NW stair-stepping process as forecast by NHC, but I actually think however that we may soon see a resumed westward motion for a bit longer then forecast. Such is the sport of weekend wobble-watching LOL

[Yellow Evan]

T6.5. B spots make it not embedded in W.

[hurricaneCW]

It's moving very slowly. Euro introducing possibility of it moving so slow that northeast ULL lifts out potentially allowing it to get further west over time.

[Yellow Evan]

TXNT24 KNES 261740
TCSNTL

A. 18L (SAM)

B. 26/1733Z

C. 14.0N

D. 50.3W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T6.5/6.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS/GMI

H. REMARKS...A WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY BLACK AND EMBEDDED IN BLACK YIELDS A
DT OF 6.5 AFTER AM EYE ADJ OF +1.0. MET IS EQUAL TO 6.5 AND PT IS EQUAL
TO 6.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

26/1500Z 14.0N 50.3W GMI


...TUGGLE

[DioBrando]

ADT finally supports 130 kt, and Sam still has that T#6.5-7.0 look. Now is the time for that long awaited 130 kt upgrade.

Sam has a really good environment ahead of her. I bet she'd continue to strengthen beyond this point; there's nothing stopping her right now.

Sam is a dude name for this storm lol. But yeah I agree.

Really?
I won't be surprised he reaches category 5

[Teban54]

Sam has a really good environment ahead of her. I bet she'd continue to strengthen beyond this point; there's nothing stopping her right now.

Sam is a dude name for this storm lol. But yeah I agree.

Really?
I won't be surprised he reaches category 5

On the naming list Sam is sandwiched between two female names (Rose and Teresa), so it has to be a male name. Though "Sam" itself is kind of a gender-neutral name and can represent Samuel, Samantha and many others. Just like Alex on next year's list.

[Yellow Evan]

AL, 18, 202109261745, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1410N, 5030W, , 1, 127, 2, 935, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , 10, L, TAFB, JA, VI, 1, 6565 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, The system is exhibiting a warm medium gray (WMG) eye

[Yellow Evan]

Ballsy call with recon looming.

`AL, 18, 2021092618, , BEST, 0, 140N, 503W, 130, 938, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 20, 20, 20, 1013, 120, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SAM, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 038, `

[InfernoFlameCat]

Ballsy call with recon looming.

`AL, 18, 2021092618, , BEST, 0, 140N, 503W, 130, 938, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 20, 20, 20, 1013, 120, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SAM, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 038, `

Thats more like it. 130 knots.

[TorSkk]

Another can-recon-get-there-before-ERC storm

[Yellow Evan]

 https://twitter.com/toddkimberlain/status/1442202053888065537

[supercane4867]

Visible presentation indicates CAT5 intensity...we will see what recon finds. It's definitely stronger than yesterday

[Iceresistance]

Does it seem like that Sam may do a literal loop? The last few frames are NNW to NNE

[supercane4867]

PCT scan shows a very intense eyewall

[Yankee Corn Husker]

Visible presentation indicates CAT5 intensity...we will see what recon finds. It's definitely stronger than yesterday

https://i.imgur.com/owZyBbB.gif

Are gravity waves emanating from around the inner core, or are those concentric ripples something else?

[Stormybajan]

Dont you just love it when recon misses the peak of a storm two days in a row?

[InfernoFlameCat]

Dont you just love it when recon misses the peak of a storm two days in a row?

I don't think Sam has peaked yet today.

[WiscoWx02]

Dont you just love it when recon misses the peak of a storm two days in a row?

No kidding. IR starting to degrade again....bet they find it weaker than 150 mph by the time they get there. Maybe the NOAA aircraft catches something? Their investigating the storm too right?

[Zonacane]

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 SEP 2021 Time : 175020 UTC
Lat : 14:07:48 N Lon : 50:16:12 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 939.5mb/129.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 6.7 6.7

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km

Center Temp : +18.9C Cloud Region Temp : -70.2C

Scene Type : EYE

Category 5 level eye temperature.

[skyline385]

Raw T dropped to 5.5