Did some quick preps around here…gutters and drainage cleared and clean. Hopefully a minor rain event with some squally weather.
Waiting and watching north side of Galveston East Bay.
ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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lrak
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
36H 14/0000Z 26.4N 96.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 14/1200Z 28.2N 96.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
This is getting too close for me. Canceled plans for today and going to have a sore butt from reading all y'alls posts
Also lucked out and went shopping yesterday.
48H 14/1200Z 28.2N 96.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
This is getting too close for me. Canceled plans for today and going to have a sore butt from reading all y'alls posts
Also lucked out and went shopping yesterday.
4 likes
AKA karl
Also
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
lrak wrote:36H 14/0000Z 26.4N 96.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 14/1200Z 28.2N 96.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
This is getting too close for me. Canceled plans for today and going to have a sore butt from reading all y'alls posts
Just got back from the store myself. Glad that’s out of the way. Already stuff flying off the shelves
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
That heavy convection to its north is going to create an anticyclone that'll track into.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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M a r k
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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M a r k
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
underthwx wrote:Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf....no forecast cone yet...
Ignore the cone, it is meaningless.
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The low cloud movement observed on visibility satellite suggests a tighter circulation is coming together fairly quickly around 21N 95W.
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:underthwx wrote:Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf....no forecast cone yet...
Ignore the cone, it is meaningless.
Are you pulling your hair out on this one for track?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:underthwx wrote:Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf....no forecast cone yet...
Ignore the cone, it is meaningless.
uhh, say what now?
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ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Man, this tropical storm that's forecasted might bring some seriously flooding rains...Look how it just crawls between Tuesday and Thursday.... Yikes!!!
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
SoupBone wrote:wxman57 wrote:underthwx wrote:Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf....no forecast cone yet...
Ignore the cone, it is meaningless.
Are you pulling your hair out on this one for track?
Nope. Seems well-behaved. NHC put their track directly on top of ours. My hair is as intact as it was yesterday.
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:Man, this tropical storm that's forecasted might bring some seriously flooding rains...Look how it just crawls between Tuesday and Thursday.... Yikes!!!
Both GFS & EC have strong west wind across the upper TX coast (aloft) Tuesday. Drives the precip well east of the center into Louisiana on Tuesday. See the RH graphic on Levi's page:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2021091212/gfs_midRH_scus_11.png
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Re: ATL: FOURTEEN - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:SoupBone wrote:wxman57 wrote:
Ignore the cone, it is meaningless.
Are you pulling your hair out on this one for track?
Nope. Seems well-behaved. NHC put their track directly on top of ours. My hair is as intact as it was yesterday.
I just hope there's enough Texas dry air to keep the intensity bottled up. The rain is a whole nother story.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Feels like this can get going fast looking at the sats, but just a feeling.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Stormybajan
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
As with everyone here, it wouldnt shock me to see this quickly ramp up to a minimal cat 1 before weakening again. The gulf is a hurricane machine
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Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like recon is starting to see a little drop in pressure now.
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