Blinhart wrote:Shell Mound wrote:IcyTundra wrote:
Would be a catastrophic scenario for SW Louisiana don't think they can take another Major Hurricane hit. I'm hoping for the sake of SW Louisiana that this goes somewhere else.
There is plenty of room for 99L to go elsewhere. We are still "early in the game."
5 days from landfall isn't that far away. TWC 10 day forecast for my area has changed a good amount from yesterday, so people and state officials need more than 72 hours to get everything done, yet we don't know anything. It is just a scary situation.
I think it's the natural push and pull between professional mets and everyone else. Government officials and the public want 5 days of lead time to get fully ready, while mets don't want to give hard guidance until 24-48 hours out. I can see both sides. The mets get hammered when they issue hard guidance that turns out to be wrong, while the public rightfully needs time to prepare and not everybody can/will get prepared early for every storm in the chance it lands on them. I mean I wasted hours preparing for Laura last year because nobody would put their foot in the ground until 24 hours out. I got at most a couple 25 mph gusts at my house and literally zero rain.
This post chain probably belongs in the discussion thread. Feel free to delete mods.