EPAC: OLAF - Post-Tropical
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grapealcoholic
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Kingarabian
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supercane4867
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Olaf is likely one of those systems that looks unappealing on satellite but packs a decent punch of intense winds beneath the cloud. Actual landfall intensity could be as high as 100kts or higher
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
MW presentation is improving quickly and is beginning to support the idea of a major hurricane:
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grapealcoholic
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:MW presentation is improving quickly and is beginning to support the idea of a major hurricane:
https://i.imgur.com/qB24mHj.png
That's not good. It has maybe 3-4 more hours before landfall I'd guess
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supercane4867
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grapealcoholic
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Current Intensity Analysis
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 SEP 2021 Time : 235031 UTC
Lat : 22:30:51 N Lon : 109:13:30 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.8 / 968.4mb/ 84.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 5.4 5.4
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km
Center Temp : -33.5C Cloud Region Temp : -64.4C
Scene Type : EYE
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 SEP 2021 Time : 235031 UTC
Lat : 22:30:51 N Lon : 109:13:30 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.8 / 968.4mb/ 84.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 5.4 5.4
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km
Center Temp : -33.5C Cloud Region Temp : -64.4C
Scene Type : EYE
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Astromanía
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
@ supercane, Try channel 11, has no artifacts.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Astromanía
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
supercane4867 wrote:Olaf is likely one of those systems that looks unappealing on satellite but packs a decent punch of intense winds beneath the cloud. Actual landfall intensity could be as high as 100kts or higher
I guess we will know when josh data is up
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grapealcoholic
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Sciencerocks
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
SAB 4.5:
They have the eye embedded in DG. Oh well.
A. 15E (OLAF)
B. 09/2330Z
C. 22.5N
D. 109.0W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...AN EYE THAT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN DG RESULTS IN AN ENO OF
4.5. AN OW EYE SURROUNDED BY MG RESULTS IN AN EADJ OF 0.0. THE RESULTING
DT IS 4.5. THE MET IS 4.0 BASED ON A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING TREND OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 4.0 AS WELL. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
09/2008Z 22.2N 108.8W AMSR2
...HOSLEY
B. 09/2330Z
C. 22.5N
D. 109.0W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...AN EYE THAT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN DG RESULTS IN AN ENO OF
4.5. AN OW EYE SURROUNDED BY MG RESULTS IN AN EADJ OF 0.0. THE RESULTING
DT IS 4.5. THE MET IS 4.0 BASED ON A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING TREND OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 4.0 AS WELL. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
09/2008Z 22.2N 108.8W AMSR2
...HOSLEY
They have the eye embedded in DG. Oh well.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Thu Sep 09, 2021 7:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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SconnieCane
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Boy, did this come out of nowhere. Wasn't expecting this in what was supposed to be a down year for the EPAC.
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Kingarabian
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Yellow Evan
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grapealcoholic
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Kingarabian
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