ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[JaxGator]

https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1427150755421696004

Indeed, not too long after he posted that, a new burst of convection just popped up at the star. Preparing for possible tornadoes here in Valdosta later today.

[tropicwatch]

Morning, some TS Force winds already hitting St. George Island.

[Stangfriik]

 https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1427184401088196612

[tropicwatch]

https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1427184401088196612?s=19

You can see the LLC tuck under the convection in shortwave imagery.
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=8840&y=5084&z=4&angle=0&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=80&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=band_07&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

[Kohlecane]

https://www.eldoradoweather.com/radar/t ... e-loop.php - KTLH out of Tallahassee
Anyone have a better doppler, on the fly currently and that's the only one in the region my Radar Alive is trying to ping to.

[tropicwatch]

https://www.eldoradoweather.com/radar/tlh/tlh-tallahassee-loop.php - KTLH out of Tallahassee
Anyone have a better doppler, on the fly currently and that's the only one in the region my Radar Alive is trying to ping to.

I like this one, it is interactive.

https://www.rainviewer.com/weather-radar-map-live.html

[ChrisH-UK]

Radar is showing that fred is heading in the direction of the area near Destin, FL.

Source RadarScope

[kevin]

Wow, looks like Fred is giving it one last shot before landfall. I think there's a good chance this will make landfall as a high-end TS, many people might be caught by susprise since until recently Fred was almost dead.

[tropicwatch]

Wow, looks like Fred is giving it one last shot before landfall. I think there's a good chance this will make landfall as a high-end TS, many people might be caught by susprise since until recently Fred was almost dead.

HH takes off in about 20min. Looking forward to seeing what they find.

[NDG]

Looking good this morning, its pressure is probably down in the mid 990s mb range.

[Kohlecane]

Just trying to find those extra 40 miles.
Will be very interested what the HH get.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Fred

Sent from my SM-N986U1 using Tapatalk

[tropicwatch]

HH are up.

[NDG]

Buoy 42036 was reporting solid TS force winds in that eyewall like feature eastern side.

08 16 4:50 am ESE 33.0 52.4 11.8 8 6.1 SSE 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:40 am ESE 31.1 42.7 - - - - 29.74 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:30 am ESE 35.0 46.6 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:20 am ESE 33.0 42.7 - - - - 29.72 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:10 am ESE 33.0 40.8 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.4

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42036

Edit: actually this buoy was not in that eyewall like feature, it is over the far eastern squalls.

[tropicwatch]

Buoy 42036 was reporting solid TS force winds in that eyewall like feature eastern side.

08 16 4:50 am ESE 33.0 52.4 11.8 8 6.1 SSE 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:40 am ESE 31.1 42.7 - - - - 29.74 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:30 am ESE 35.0 46.6 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:20 am ESE 33.0 42.7 - - - - 29.72 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:10 am ESE 33.0 40.8 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.4

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42036

Edit: actually this buoy was not in that eyewall like feature, it is over the far eastern squalls.

According to NDBC that buoy is about 85 miles away from Fred.

[kevin]

Buoy 42036 was reporting solid TS force winds in that eyewall like feature eastern side.

08 16 4:50 am ESE 33.0 52.4 11.8 8 6.1 SSE 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:40 am ESE 31.1 42.7 - - - - 29.74 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:30 am ESE 35.0 46.6 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:20 am ESE 33.0 42.7 - - - - 29.72 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:10 am ESE 33.0 40.8 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.4

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42036

Edit: actually this buoy was not in that eyewall like feature, it is over the far eastern squalls.

52 kt gusts and that's not even in the eyewall. Is there a chance Fred could make landfall as a cat 1? Yesterday I would've said it was near-impossible, but now I'm not sure.

[NDG]

Buoy 42036 was reporting solid TS force winds in that eyewall like feature eastern side.

08 16 4:50 am ESE 33.0 52.4 11.8 8 6.1 SSE 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:40 am ESE 31.1 42.7 - - - - 29.74 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:30 am ESE 35.0 46.6 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:20 am ESE 33.0 42.7 - - - - 29.72 - - 84.2 - - - -
08 16 4:10 am ESE 33.0 40.8 - - - - 29.73 - - 84.4

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42036

Edit: actually this buoy was not in that eyewall like feature, it is over the far eastern squalls.

52 kt gusts and that's not even in the eyewall. Is there a chance Fred could make landfall as a cat 1? Yesterday I would've said it was near-impossible, but now I'm not sure.

We will find out in just a few short minutes from the recon how quickly is strengthening.

[Blown Away]

Not downplaying a TS at all because I know this will cause hardship for some people, but from a pure weather watcher perspective a strong TS/Cat 1 are the best storms to just watch.

Good luck to the Panhandle folks!!!

[tropicwatch]

Not downplaying a TS at all because I know this will cause hardship for some people, but from a pure weather watcher perspective a strong TS/Cat 1 are the best storms to just watch.

I agree but unfortunately the ground is already saturated in Panama City which will equal a lot of trees down.

[NDG]