ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/cyclonicwx/status/1430700278001639424

[skyline385]

Is there any way of telling just yet how large this storm could be physically?

You can look at the Simulated IR on GFS(https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 82518&fh=6) or HWRF(https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 2518&fh=30) to get an idea.

It wont be a small storm for sure cause its part of a large trough and is pulling moisture from the EPAC.

Anyone have a good image of current surface temps of the Gulf?

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/contour/

[Red eye]

Good afternoon fellow weather junkies. I honestly hate Hurricane season now, which is hard for me to say since I love weather so much. There isn't any more thrill in riding out a storm for me. Deaths, loss of property, livelihoods being lost and the general demoralization of majors have gotten to be too much. After the catastrophes next to the house last year it'll be no fun reroofing and suffering with loved ones again, but I am looking forward to new challenges and working with neighbors again. I'll add this. If this is a SWLA hit Iam Iam curious to see how the completely new electrical infrastructure holds up. Lake Charles and surrounding area took a hit, but they didnt slack. They put their heads down and went to work. They built back quickly and without much help from the government here. No matter what happens Louisiana is ready. Love and prayer.

When people around me say I wish it would go west or east of us I say how about it exits the gulf through the gulfstream. Ha. No loss of life or property this year please. Can we get a cancellation on the Hurricane season!

I look forward to watching weather with you my storm2k friends

[Blinhart]

Good afternoon fellow weather junkies. I honestly hate Hurricane season now, which is hard for me to say since I love weather so much. There isn't any more thrill in riding out a storm for me. Deaths, loss of property, livelihoods being lost and the general demoralization of majors have gotten to be too much. After the catastrophes next to the house last year it'll be no fun reroofing and suffering with loved ones again, but I am looking forward to new challenges and working with neighbors again. I'll add this. If this is a SWLA hit Iam Iam curious to see how the completely new electrical infrastructure holds up. Lake Charles and surrounding area took a hit, but they didnt slack. They put their heads down and went to work. They built back quickly and without much help from the government here. No matter what happens Louisiana is ready. Love and prayer.

When people around me say I wish it would go west or east of us I say how about it exits the gulf through the gulfstream. Ha. No loss of life or property this year please. Can we get a cancellation on the Hurricane season!

I look forward to watching weather with you my storm2k friends

Probably going to decide tomorrow morning on if I will do extreme yard work around the house or not. This can't be happening again this year.

[Rebelstorm]

By the way, 00Z Consensus came in (TVCN) with landfall east of Vermilion Bay before sunrise on Monday.

Well if that verifys that will be worse case for Baton Rouge and all points east.

[Stormgodess]

Good afternoon fellow weather junkies. I honestly hate Hurricane season now, which is hard for me to say since I love weather so much. There isn't any more thrill in riding out a storm for me. Deaths, loss of property, livelihoods being lost and the general demoralization of majors have gotten to be too much. After the catastrophes next to the house last year it'll be no fun reroofing and suffering with loved ones again, but I am looking forward to new challenges and working with neighbors again. I'll add this. If this is a SWLA hit Iam Iam curious to see how the completely new electrical infrastructure holds up. Lake Charles and surrounding area took a hit, but they didnt slack. They put their heads down and went to work. They built back quickly and without much help from the government here. No matter what happens Louisiana is ready. Love and prayer.

When people around me say I wish it would go west or east of us I say how about it exits the gulf through the gulfstream. Ha. No loss of life or property this year please. Can we get a cancellation on the Hurricane season!

I look forward to watching weather with you my storm2k friends

Probably going to decide tomorrow morning on if I will do extreme yard work around the house or not. This can't be happening again this year.

I was getting almost hopeful that South Louisiana wouldnt face one at all this season, we needed a break.

[captainbarbossa19]

By the way, 00Z Consensus came in (TVCN) with landfall east of Vermilion Bay before sunrise on Monday.

Well if that verifys that will be worse case for Baton Rouge and all points east.

TVCN was over Bolivar Peninsula in Texas for the 18z. That is a massive shift.

[Steve]

SUV is gassed. I’ll be grabbing some water and provisions tomorrow. House member is recovering from surgery and probably doesn’t want to deal with days of power outages. We will go to Pensacola if need be.

[GCANE]

Tons of lightning with that large CVS south of Haiti.
Pretty much tells me a strong feedback is forming.

[cycloneye]

This is a great point.

 https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/1430709566317252618

[Stormgodess]

By the way, 00Z Consensus came in (TVCN) with landfall east of Vermilion Bay before sunrise on Monday.

Well if that verifys that will be worse case for Baton Rouge and all points east.

TVCN was over Bolivar Peninsula in Texas for the 18z. That is a massive shift.

Did 95 E do something different than was expected?

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1430535576382488582

[Sciencerocks]

[SoupBone]

By the way, 00Z Consensus came in (TVCN) with landfall east of Vermilion Bay before sunrise on Monday.

Well if that verifys that will be worse case for Baton Rouge and all points east.

It would be like Gustav, but much worse. I rode out Gustav in Baton Rouge, was out of power for over 2 weeks. That system was dropping tornados like it was his job.

[cheezyWXguy]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img922/7674/xFEeZL.gif

99L is consolidating about a degree south of where the gfs expected.

[GCANE]

Looks like dry air not a big problem.
Seeing some dryline convection popping up and ML moisture flowing into the dry slot.
As the wave gets closer to CA, land frictional effects kick in creating enhanced LL convergence.
Should be an interesting day tomorrow.
Where's Eric?

[loon]

the spin seems to be lining up south of 14N or are my eyes messed up from watching COD floater all day..

[GCANE]

Tons of lightning with that large CVS south of Haiti.
Pretty much tells me a strong feedback is forming.

Sorry, meant to say a strong FEEDERBAND is forming.

[Stormgodess]

DANG! This is what I did not want to see. Sorry for posting so much guys, but Im already in disaster mode with this one.


 https://twitter.com/WxGChandler/status/1430712834946633734

[GCANE]

The ULL north of Cuba will be history very soon.
Tons of convection in it will soon take it out.

[CrazyC83]

I'm personally seeing the center around 14.5N 77.5W and moving at about 280-285 degrees (i.e. WNW).