ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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skyline385
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3301 Postby skyline385 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:31 am

I see a tiny pink hot tower popping, as if the current rate of intensification wasnt bad enough already

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3302 Postby grapealcoholic » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:31 am

supercane4867 wrote:Won't be done strengthening anytime soon. CAT5 is a distinct probability

https://i.imgur.com/8TdLc8e.gif

Cat 5 is probably the base case at this point
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3303 Postby Highteeld » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:32 am

Eye temp cooking per recon pass

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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3304 Postby kevin » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:32 am

This is gonna be one of those hurricanes that we still talk about decades later, isn"t it... I expected this storm to intensify, but after it struggled and kinda 'underperformed' I was starting to let my guard down and think that it might be less bad than many feared. And then this happens, intensification like this in the Atlantic is pretty much unprecedented. Only Iota and before that the 2005 storms may have had such pressure drops.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3305 Postby wx98 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:32 am

Yellow Evan wrote:https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/881425228587216906/236833868_580495999800440_8263802563719129005_n.png

The eye warming is as sudden as the pressure drops and wind spikes.


Can’t say enough that this is very alarming. Eye temp will probably go north of 20C.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3306 Postby KimmieLa » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:33 am

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:A long time poster on here posted on our local forum the latest euro and has it scraping by Port Fourchon to the west and heading nnw thru timbalier bay. Most importantly shows crazy wind gust of 120+ coming right through Gonzales.


Mike, Noooooooo. Say it ain't so. It will project many landfall locations several times before landfall, I hope. Stay safe in Gonzales!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3307 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:33 am

Its CDO is also becoming dramatically thicker and symmetrical. No wonder Recon is finding winds so extreme.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3308 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:35 am

The RI really reminds of wilma

I hope we dont see 882mb
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3309 Postby skyline385 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:35 am

With how ragged the eye looks and combined with the extreme RI, I wouldnt be surprised if there are meso-vortices embedded in it...
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3310 Postby aperson » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:36 am

the eyewall is completely lit up now after having only an occasional flash for the past several hours. first time I've seen this in its lifecycle

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3311 Postby Bad_Hurricane » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:37 am

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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should NOT be used as such. It is just the my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC, NWS products and Donald Trump twitter account.

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3312 Postby TallahasseeMan » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:37 am

FL winds look much more robust in the NW quadrant compared to when recon first flew in.
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ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3313 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:37 am

I think the reason the eye looks ragged is because it is corkscrew-shaped from rapid intensification...
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3314 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am

Waiting this late to bomb out also doesn't give it much time for an eyewall cycle, so it like so many others lately is probably going to come in at peak. Big sinking feeling of horror here.
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3315 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am

Symmetry continues to increase with mesovortices evident in the eyewall

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Last edited by supercane4867 on Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3316 Postby Comradez » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am

Okay, I take back my earlier doubts about cat 5 being in play. If this thing combines this recent cold CDO and warm eye with a perfect stadium eye organization by the morning, it could definitely reach cat 5.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3317 Postby Texashawk » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am

Boy, to be a fly on the wall in the NHC's offices when that last recon center pass came through. I'd give anything to see their reactions.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3318 Postby Keldeo1997 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:38 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3319 Postby aperson » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:39 am

Following the school of GCANE, a whopping 80mm/hr rain rate in the NE quadrant showing explosive intensification:

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3320 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Aug 29, 2021 1:39 am

Sanibel wrote:I think the reason the eye looks ragged is because it is corkscrew-shaped from rapid intensification...



This storm looks flat. Not symmetrical like Katrina
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