ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[kassi]

Hopefully everyone has evacuated from Grand Isle, Port Fouchon, Golden Meadow, Galliano, and Cut Off. I shudder how those areas will look like after this passes..

Lots of ppl stayed home!!! Including my son and im a nervous wreck.

Where is he? And I'll keep him in my prayers.

[AJC3]

Bit funny looking elongated eye on sat, looks like it have gotten bigger since last recons?

Any funkiness in the presentation of the eye on IR satellite is due to the tops of the cells in the intense eyewall convection.

The radar presentation of the eye/eyewall remains steady-state in terms of both size and intensity.

[LARanger]

Okay, so basically at this point I'm really considering the idea I'm gonna bounce if this goes 5. Inland I may be, but there's a fighting chance the eye goes over me and I'm not terribly interested in eating that in both directions. I ate about 100 sustained-wind for Katrina in or damn near the eastern eyewall and I wouldn't want to exceed that pleasure . . . though as I say this and note the details, it was a ~15mph forward-motion storm also and, well, huh . . . I dunno, I still don't like it.

It was one thing when it was to the west (even skirting me), it'd be another thing to the east, but I don't know how I feel about an eye trip, especially if this thing goes 5 and sustains more energy when it gets here. I might could live with 100mph . . . but I sure liked it better when it was gonna be 45-60 on me.

[Keldeo1997]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

4:00 AM CDT Sun Aug 29
Location: 28.0°N 89.1°W
Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph

[StAuggy]

https://imgur.com/gallery/91laact

[grapealcoholic]

There eyewall irregularities on IR are due to mesos

[StAuggy]

https://imgur.com/gallery/91laact

Eyewall looking stout in the east side

[MONTEGUT_LA]

Hopefully everyone has evacuated from Grand Isle, Port Fouchon, Golden Meadow, Galliano, and Cut Off. I shudder how those areas will look like after this passes..

Lots of ppl stayed home!!! Including my son and im a nervous wreck.

I feel for you, did he at least get to a well protected place there? If not, I'd highly recommend that you contact him and see if there's still a shelter or anything in the vicinity that he can go to.

Trust me i did. They all just too hardheaded. Hopefully he left. What can you do? Once they become adults you got to hope they still listen to you.

He said they couldnt find a hotel so they turned back home.. he didnt want to go to shelter. i trying to get them to drive to thibodaux at least to my other son's house.

[EquusStorm]

Sixteen feet of surge could essentially almost take Grand Isle the way of Cheniere Caminada or Last Island. Potential geography-changing catastrophe incoming for parts of this ecologically fragile region.

[Michele B]

There eyewall irregularities on IR are due to mesos

That’s where the real danger lies with being in the eyewall - imho.

[SouthernBreeze]

Latest NHC Disco bumped landfall up to 145mph from 130 in last report. Also interesting note in there of:
"NWS Doppler radar velocity data from Slidell, Louisiana, has recently been measuring velocities of
120-130 kt between 25,000-30,000 ft, which is quite rare, and
indicates that Ida is a vertically deep and intense hurricane."

[FLpanhandle91]

Moat around eyewall on radar. EWRC could be coming.

[MBryant]

4:00 AM CDT Sun Aug 29
Location: 28.0°N 89.1°W
Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph

I'm WNW of the current position. The western edge is forecast to be about 75 miles to my East. But it's still too close to breath easy.

[grapealcoholic]

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 28.0N 89.1W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 29.1N 90.3W 125 KT 145 MPH...NEAR SERN LOUISIANA
24H 30/0600Z 30.6N 91.1W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/1800Z 32.2N 91.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0600Z 33.8N 90.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 31/1800Z 35.4N 87.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 01/0600Z 36.7N 85.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
96H 02/0600Z 38.9N 78.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

It's not even making landfall for another 12 hours

[PavelGaborik]

Moat around eyewall on radar. EWRC could be coming.

Doubt it'll have time to finish it.

[grapealcoholic]

Moat around eyewall on radar. EWRC could be coming.

Doubt it'll have time to finish it.

Probably a meld

[Blown Away]

Ida slightly L of the track.
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

[grapealcoholic]

ill guess 935mb 130 kts

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/xel_artz/status/1431907034035675143